Research on the Influencing Factors and Potential of Export Trade in China's Paper Industry
This paper analyzed the current situation and characteristics of China's paper industry trade,constructed an expanded trade gravity model based on panel data of China and 30 trading partner countries from 2011 to 2022,and studied the influencing factors and potential of China's paper industry export trade.The results showed that China had a high degree of dependence on the import of pulp.In recent years,while the import volume of various paper products had decreased,the export scale of China's paper industry had shown an upward trend.Economic scale,forest resource differences,transportation efficiency,exchange rate of local currency against the US dollar,customs clearance efficiency,signing of free trade agreements,transportation level,and cultural factors had significant impacts on China's paper industry export trade.In the midstream and downstream paper product trade,China was considered"aoneer potential"while major countries were seen as having"significant potential".Thus,China should focus on enhancing the quality and value-added of its paper products,reducing reliance on imported upstream materials like pulp,and expediting the negotiation of free trade agreements with major countries.
China's paper industryexport tradeinfluencing factorspotential capacity of trade