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我国城镇化协调发展的空间状况及影响因素

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城镇化协调发展包括产业—人口—土地城镇化过程的两两协调关系和总体协调状况.基于我国2020年336个地级及以上城市数据,探讨城镇化协调发展水平的空间特征及其影响因素.研究发现:(1)东部地区城镇化发展的协调性相对较强,长三角、珠三角和山东半岛地区是城镇化协调发展程度较高的集聚区域,中部和东北地区次之,西部地区城镇化发展的协调性相对较弱.(2)城镇化协调发展水平表现出较为明显的空间集聚态势,产业—土地城镇化集聚程度最高,产业—人口城镇化集聚程度最低.(3)经济发展水平对城镇化发展协调性的影响呈"U"形;政府作用总体上不利于城镇化协调发展,尤其是在西部;科技创新显著促进城镇化协调发展,在东部尤为明显;公共服务发展总体上有利于城镇化协调发展,其中医疗和教育对中部地区的促进作用最为显著,基础设施对西部地区影响更大.
The Spatial Situation and Influencing Factors of the Coordinated Development of Urbanization in China
Coordinated development of urbanization consists of binary and overall relations among population dynamics,industrial development and urban landscape changes during urbanization.Based on the data of 336 cities at prefecture level and above in China in 2020,this paper analyzes the spatial characteristics of the coordinated development level of urbanization development,and further analyzes the influencing factors of coordinated development in the process of urbanization.The research finds::(1)The coordinated development degree is higher in eastern cities than in middle and western ones.The Yangtze River Delta,the Pearl River Delta,and Shandong Peninsula regions are agglomeration areas with a high degree of coordinated development.(2)The spatial agglomeration trend of coordinated development level of urbanization is obvious,among which the agglomeration degree of industry-land urbanization is the highest and that of industry-population urbanization is the lowest.(3)There is a U-type relation between economic development and coordinated development;high government expenditure plays a negative role,especially in the western regions;technological innovation has significantly promoted the coordinated development of urbanization in different regions of China,especially in the eastern region;the development of basic public services is generally conducive to the coordinated development of urbanization with healthcare and education playing the most significant role in the central region,and infrastructure having a greater impact in the western region.

industrial urbanizationpopulation urbanizationland urbanizationcoordinated developmentspatial situationinfluencing factors

任远、倪泽睿

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复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院

产业城镇化 人口城镇化 土地城镇化 协调发展 空间状况 影响因素

2025

中国名城
中国城科会历史文化名城委员会

中国名城

影响因子:0.392
ISSN:1674-4144
年,卷(期):2025.39(1)