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装备多阶段作战任务成功性评估

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受使用方式、可靠性、维修性因素的影响,装备执行作战任务时常呈现出多阶段任务特性.通过对装备作战多阶段任务的分析与描述,基于Markov模型建立起单阶段任务成功性评估模型并给出求解方法,而后给出逐阶段评估多阶段任务成功性的过程,并通过系统状态映射机制解决阶段任务间系统状态数量不同的问题.最后,通过装备使用方案优化的示例展示了该方法在装备领域中的应用价值.
Success Evaluation of Equipment Multi-phase Combat Mission
Influenced by the factors of use,reliability and maintenance,the equipment often takes on characteristics of the multi-phase mission when implementing combat missions.Through the analysis and description of the multi-phase mission of equipment combat,the single-phase mission success evaluation model is established based on the Markov model and the solution is given.Then,the paper points out the process of evaluating the success of the multi-stage mission step by step and solve the problem that the system state and number vary with the change of phases and missions by the use of the system state mapping mechanism.Finally,the application value of the method in the equipment field is demonstrated by the example of equipment usage scheme optimization.

multi-phase missionmission successevaluation

许双伟、廉蔺

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装备学院装备指挥系,北京101416

国防科学技术大学军事高科技培训学院,湖南长沙410073

多阶段任务 任务成功性 评估

部委级资助项目

2017

装备学院学报
装备学院科研部

装备学院学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.441
ISSN:2095-3828
年,卷(期):2017.28(2)
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