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基于证据网络的空间信息支援体系能力评估模型构建

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针对空间信息支援体系能力评估中信息存在多种不确定性的问题,采用基于证据网络的方法开展建模研究.利用因果图方法进行证据网络结构建模,建立有向无环图;利用条件信度参数方法进行证据网络参数建模,表征节点之间的定量化关联关系;最后,以空间导航定位体系能力评估为案例,建立相应的证据网络模型,并与贝叶斯网络建模方法进行了对比分析.结果表明:证据网络能够处理空间信息支援能力评估中的认知不确定,验证了所提出方法的正确性和有效性.
Assessment Modeling for System-of-Systems Capability in Space Information Support Based on Evidence Network
To overcome the information uncertainties in the capability evaluation of space information support system,this paper adopts the method of evidence network to carry out the modeling research.It models the structure of the evidence network with the causality diagram method to create a directed acyclic graph.Besides,the conditional reliability parameter method is used in modeling the evidence network parameters to represent the quantitative relationship between the nodes.Finally,with space navigation and positioning system as an example,the corresponding evidence network model is established and compared with the Bayesian network modeling method.The results show that the evidence network can deal with the cognitive uncertainties in the evaluation on space information support capability and verify the correctness and validity of the proposed methods.

evidence networkassessment of system-of-systems capabilityspace information support

裴东、秦大国、卜广志

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装备学院航天指挥系,北京101416

北京系统工程研究所复杂系统仿真实验室,北京100101

证据网络 体系能力评估 空间信息支援

2017

装备学院学报
装备学院科研部

装备学院学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.441
ISSN:2095-3828
年,卷(期):2017.28(2)
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