首页|三碘甲状腺原氨酸和认知功能在老年慢性心力衰竭再入院中的风险预测

三碘甲状腺原氨酸和认知功能在老年慢性心力衰竭再入院中的风险预测

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目的 探讨三碘甲状腺原氨酸和认知功能对老年慢性心力衰竭(CHF)患者心血管事件再入院的预测价值.方法 选择2020年9月至2022年9月于宜昌市中心人民医院老年病科及心血管内科住院的≥65岁的老年CHF患者为研究对象,根据患者是否因心血管事件再入院分为再入院组(n=79)和非再入院组(n=54),比较两组患者一般临床资料.采用多因素logistic回归分析老年CHF患者的相关危险因素,并采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估各因素水平对心血管事件再入院风险的预测价值.采用SPSS 26.0、GraphPad Prism软件进行数据分析.根据数据类型,组间比较分别采用t检验、x2检验及秩和检验.结果 与非再入院组相比,再入院组白蛋白、血钙、三碘甲状腺原氨酸明显降低,合并糖尿病明显增多,认知功能评分明显下降(P<0.05).多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,三碘甲状腺原氨酸(OR=0.522,95%CI 0.303~0.900)、血钙(OR=0.003,95%CI0.000~0.777)和认知功能(OR=71.093,95%CI 17.855~282.589)是老年CHF患者再入院的独立危险因素(P<0.05).ROC曲线结果示三碘甲状腺原氨酸和认知功能对老年CHF患者2年内心血管事件再入院风险预测的ROC曲线下面积分别为 0.660(95%CI 0.561~0.758;P<0.01)、0.913(95%CI 0.866~0.960;P<0.001).结论 三碘甲状腺原氨酸和认知功能是老年CHF患者的独立危险因素,对其心血管事件再入院风险具有良好的预测价值.
Triiodothyronine and cognitive function predicts risk of rehospitalization in elderly patients with chronic heart failure
Objective To investigate the predictive value of triiodothyronine and cognitive function in readmission of elderly patients with chronic heart failure(CHF)due to cardiovascular events.Methods Elderly CHF patients(≥65 years)admitted in the geriatric and cardiologic departments of Yichang Central People's Hospital from September 2020 to September 2022 were enrolled.According to whether they were readmitted due to cardiovascular events within two years after discharge,they were divided into read-mission group(n=79)and non-readmission group(n=54).General clinical data were compared between two groups.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors in elderly CHF patients,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted to evaluate the predictive value of each factor for the risk of readmissions due to cardiovascular events.SPSS statistics 26.0 and GraphPad Prism were adopted for statistical analysis.Data comparison between two groups was performed using student's t test,X2 test or rank-sum test depending on data type.Results Significantly decreased albumin,blood calcium and triiodothyronine levels,larger ratio of co-existing diabetes,and declined cognitive function score were observed in the readmission group than the non-readmission group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that triiodothyronine(OR=0.522,95%CI 0.303-0.900),blood calcium(OR=0.003,95%CI 0.000-0.777)and cognitive function(OR=71.093,95%CI 17.855-282.589)were independent risk factors for readmission in elderly CHF patients(P<0.05).ROC curve analysis indicated that the area under the curve of triiodothyronine and cognitive function in predicting the two-year readmission risk of cardiovascular events in elderly CHF patients was 0.660(95%CI 0.561-0.758;P<0.01)and 0.913(95%CI 0.866-0.960;P<0.001),respectively.Conclusion Triiodothyronine and cognitive function are independent risk factors in elderly patients with CHF,and have good predictive value for readmission risk of cardiovascular events.

heart failurecognitive functiontriiodothyronineprognosis

许甜甜、向常清、李书国、黄伟

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三峡大学第一临床医学院·宜昌市中心人民医院老年病科,湖北宜昌 443000

三峡大学附属第二人民医院·宜昌市第二人民医院重症医学科,湖北宜昌 443000

心力衰竭 认知功能 三碘甲状腺原氨酸 预后

湖北省自然科学基金湖北省宜昌市医疗卫生科研项目

2013CFB390A19-301-38

2024

中华老年多器官疾病杂志
中国人民解放军总医院老年心血管病研究所

中华老年多器官疾病杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.728
ISSN:1671-5403
年,卷(期):2024.23(8)
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