首页|社区老年人内在能力和共病对不良事件发生的影响——基于结构方程模型的路径分析

社区老年人内在能力和共病对不良事件发生的影响——基于结构方程模型的路径分析

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目的 分析社区老年人内在能力(IC)、共病以及两者之间的相互作用对不良事件发生的影响效应.方法 2年观察性队列研究,纳入2018年6-8月北京泰康之家燕园独立生活区的230例年龄≥75岁居民,采用内在能力量表、查尔森共病指数(CCI)、日常生活活动(ADL)量表进行评估.2020年9月随访不良事件即功能下降(2年后ADL较基线下降至少1分)和跌倒.采用结构方程模型(SEM)路径分析,探讨IC和共病影响不良事件的直接和间接效应.结果 212例老年人完成2年随访,年龄75~93(83.8±4.4)岁,女性126例(59.4%);功能下降者51.4%(109/212),跌倒者33.5%(71/212).路径分析结果显示,IC影响老年人功能下降、跌倒发生的直接效应显著为正,效应值分别为0.430、0.369,而CCI无显著影响.基于Logistic回归的效应分析,IC影响功能下降、跌倒发生的总效应显著为正,分别为1.184和0.915;CCI作为中介因素的影响效应分别占5.4%和0.8%.在年龄影响功能下降、跌倒的路径中,IC作为中介因素的间接效应显著为正,均高于共病作为中介因素产生的效应(功能下降:0.192比0.037;跌倒:0.158比0.017).结论 IC水平显著影响社区老年人功能下降和跌倒的发生,而共病的影响效应微弱,社区老年人的医疗健康管理中更需要关注加强IC的维护.
The effect of intrinsic capacity and comorbidity on adverse outcomes in community-dwelling older adults:path analysis based on structure equation model
Objective To examine the impact of intrinsic capacity(IC),comorbidity,and their interaction on the occurrence of adverse outcomes in community-dwelling older adults.Methods This 2-year observational cohort study included 230 residents aged 75 and above who lived in the Beijing Taikang Yanyaun community active area from June to August 2018.The study evaluated the IC scale,Charlson comorbidity index(CCI),and activity of daily living(ADL).In September 2020,adverse outcomes such as functional decline(defined as a decline of at least one point on the ADL scores at 2-year follow-up compared with baseline)and falls were assessed.The structure equation model(SEM)path analysis was employed to examine the direct and indirect effects of IC and CCI on adverse outcomes.Results Among the 212 older adults who completed a 2-year follow-up,aged 75-93(mean age 83.8±4.4)years,59.4%(126 cases)were female.Out of these participants,51.4%(109 cases)experienced functional decline and 33.5%(71 cases)had falls.Path analysis revealed that the direct effects of IC on functional decline and falls were significantly positive,with standardized coefficients of 0.430 and 0.369,respectively.However,the effect of CCI was not found to be significant.The multi-variable Logistic regression model showed that the total effect of IC on functional decline and falls remained significantly positive,with values of 1.184 and 0.915,respectively.CCI acted as a mediating factor,with indirect effects on functional decline and falls accounting for 5.4%and 0.8%,respectively.In terms of the relationship between age and adverse outcomes,the indirect effect of IC was significantly higher than that of CCI(functional decline:0.192 vs.0.037;falls:0.158 vs.0.017).Conclusions The maintenance of IC in the health management of community-dwelling older adults should be given more attention as it can significantly affect the incidence of functional decline and falls.Comorbidity,on the other hand,has a weaker influence.

ComorbidityActivities of daily livingAccidental fallsIntrinsic capacity

刘硕、刘晓红、康琳、姜珊、李娇娇、于新秀

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山东大学齐鲁医院老年医学科,济南 250012

中国医学科学院北京协和医学院北京协和医院老年医学科,北京 100730

泰康之家燕园养老社区,北京 102200

共病现象 日常生活活动 意外跌倒 内在能力

中国医科院医学与健康科技创新工程项目

2018-I2M-1-002

2024

中华老年医学杂志
中华医学会

中华老年医学杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.606
ISSN:0254-9026
年,卷(期):2024.43(3)
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