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全球纺织品贸易网络格局及影响机制研究

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本文通过指数随机图模型研究2006-2021年全球纺织品贸易网络的演化及其影响因素.研究发现,贸易网络整体呈稳定上升趋势,连通性和互动性增强.中国、印度在出口方面占主导地位,而美国和欧洲国家在进口方面表现稳定.经济水平较低的国家之间以及人口规模适中的国家之间更容易形成贸易关系,而创新水平较高的国家间贸易关系更加紧密.地理邻接、共同语言、宗教相似程度高和签订自由贸易协定对贸易网络形成有显著促进作用,地理邻接的影响尤为突出.本文为全球纺织品贸易网络的演化机制提供了新的研究视角,旨在为制定贸易政策和优化贸易结构提供重要的参考依据.
Research on the Pattern and Influencing Mechanism of Global Textile Trade Network
The evolution of the global textile trade network and its influencing factors from 2006 to 2021 are studied by using the exponential random graph model.The study found that the overall trade network showed a steady upward trend,and the connectivity and interaction were enhanced.China and India dominate exports,while United States and European countries are stable in imports.Trade relationships are more easily formed between countries with lower economic levels and those with moderate population sizes,while trade ties are closer among countries with higher levels of innovation.Geographical adjacency,common language,high degree of religious similarity and the signing of free trade agreements have a significant role in promoting the formation of trade networks,and the impact of geographical adjacency is particularly prominent.These findings provide a new perspective for understanding the evolution mechanism of the global textile trade network,and provide an important reference for formulating trade policies and optimizing the trade structure.

textile tradecomplex networksexponential random graph modelinternational tradeevolution of trade networks

贾璐男

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中国计量大学经济与管理学院 浙江 杭州 310000

纺织品贸易 复杂网络 指数随机图模型 国际贸易 贸易网络演化

2025

中国商论
中国商业联合会

中国商论

ISSN:2096-0298
年,卷(期):2025.34(1)