面向复杂决策的OODA环:智能赋能与认知增强
OODA Ring Theory for Complex Decision-making:Intelligent Empowerment and Cognitive Enhancement
白成超 1张琦 1谢旭东 1颜鹏 1郭继峰1
作者信息
- 1. 哈尔滨工业大学航天学院,哈尔滨 150001
- 折叠
摘要
传统OODA环理论存在认知粒度低、单向循环、单一入口等缺点,无法满足未来以智能化、网络化、体系化为特征的多域联合作战需求,尚不具备在以跨域协同、体系聚优等为代表的复杂决策环境中应用的能力.通过梳理分析OODA环理论发展历程及演进路线,确定了面向复杂决策的OODA环理论的重点是突出认知环节与决策环节在整个OODA环中的作用;通过分析智能技术的赋能方式,构建了智能态势认知与智能复杂决策框架,并将这两个框架嵌入认知粒度提高的OODA环,形成面向复杂决策的智能CT-OODA环理论;基于Cynefin理论说明了复杂决策问题的环境分类方法,阐述了在不同复杂程度决策环境下智能CT-OODA环的运行方式,以及如何通过OODA的决策循环实现决策环境改变的动力学;提出了面向复杂决策的智能OO-DA及其具体结构和运行方式,并且提出了分类复杂决策环境的方法,为未来人机融合态势认知与复杂决策提供参考.
Abstract
The traditional OODA(observation-orientation-decision-action)ring theory has such shortcomings as low cognitive granularity,one-way circulation,and single entrance,etc.and can't meet the multi-domain joint combat requirements with intelligent,networked,systematic features and isn't capable of applying in the complex decision-making environment represented by multi-domain coordination,systematic optimization,etc.Based on the sorting out and analysis of the development process and the evolution route of OODA ring theory,the focus of OODA ring theory for complex decision-making is determined to highlight the role of cognitive links and decision-making links in the whole OODA ring.By analyzing the empowerment mode of intelligent technology,the intelligent situation cognition and intelligent complex decision-making framework are constructed,and these two frameworks are embedded in the OODA ring with increased cognitive granularity to form an intelligent CT-OODA ring theory for complex decision-making.Based on Cynefin theory,the environmental classification method of complex decision-making problems is explained,and the operation mode of intelligent CT-OODA rings in decision-making environments of different complexity is elaborated,and how the dynamics of decision-making environment change are realized through OODA decision-making circulations.An intelligent OODA for complex decision-making and its specific structure and operation mode are proposed,and a method for classifying complex decision-making environments is proposed,to provide reference for future human-machine fusion situation cognition and complex decision-making.
关键词
复杂决策/OODA/态势认知/智能决策Key words
complex decision making/OODA/situation cognition/intelligent decision making引用本文复制引用
基金项目
中国科协青年人才托举工程(2021QNRC001)
黑龙江省自然科学基金优秀青年基金(YQ2022F012)
思源联盟基金(HTKJ2022KL012003)
中央高校基本科研业务专项资金资助(HIT.OCEF.2023010)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据