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基于GIS-AHP的宁海县山洪灾害风险影响研究

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山洪灾害的发生主要受降雨、高程、坡度等因素影响,受灾程度主要和人口密度、可耕地面积、工业生产总值等因素有很大关系.在分析前期成果的基础上,利用层次分析法对宁海县各乡镇的山洪风险进行评估.通过对影响山洪灾害发生的降雨、地形、坡度等指标进行权重叠加,得到山洪灾害危险性指数图.通过对人口密度、可耕地面积、单位面积工业生产总值等指标进行权重叠加得到易损性指数图.最后通过危险度和易损度相乘计算出风险性归一化指数,得到宁海县山洪灾害风险性指数图.对比现有山洪灾害重要村落情况,基于层次分析法计算得出的山洪灾害风险性指数图具有一定的合理性和客观性.
Research on the Risk and Impact of Mountain Flood Disasters in Ninghai County Based on GIS-AHP
The occurrence of mountain flood disaster is mainly affected by rainfall,elevation,slope and other factors,and the severity of disaster is mainly related to factors such as population density,arable land area,and industrial production value.Therefore,based on the analysis of the previous results,this study used the Analytic Hierarchy Process to evaluate the mountain flood risk in various townships in Ninghai County.By adding weights to indicators such as rainfall,terrain,and slope that affect the occurrence of mountain flood disasters,a hazard index map of mountain flood disasters is obtained.The vulnerability index chart is obtained by adding weights to indicators such as population density,arable land area,and unit area industrial production value.Finally,the normalized risk index of mountain flood disasters in Ninghai County is calculated by multiplying the risk level and vulnerability level,and the risk index map is obtained.Compared with the situation of important villages affected by mountain flood disasters,the risk index map of mountain flood disasters calculated based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process has a certain degree of rationality and objectivity.

Analytic Hierarchy Processdangervulnerabilityrisk index

吕吉法、杨钟林、景新燕、张洪、吉顺文

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浙江省宁海县水文站,浙江 宁海 315600

浙江省水利河口研究院(浙江省海洋规划设计研究院),浙江 杭州 310017

浙江省水利防灾减灾重点实验室,浙江 杭州 310017

杭州定川信息技术有限公司,浙江 杭州 310020

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层次分析法 危险性 易损性 风险性指数

2024

浙江水利科技
浙江省水利河口研究院 浙江省水利学会

浙江水利科技

影响因子:0.294
ISSN:1008-701X
年,卷(期):2024.52(6)