智库理论与实践2024,Vol.9Issue(6) :155-168.DOI:10.19318/j.cnki.issn.2096-1634.2024.06.17

欧盟氢能项目的主题演化趋势分析

Thematic Evolution Trend Analysis of EU Hydrogen Energy Projects

姚思航 郭剑锋 刘曦泽 岳芳 陈晓怡
智库理论与实践2024,Vol.9Issue(6) :155-168.DOI:10.19318/j.cnki.issn.2096-1634.2024.06.17

欧盟氢能项目的主题演化趋势分析

Thematic Evolution Trend Analysis of EU Hydrogen Energy Projects

姚思航 1郭剑锋 1刘曦泽 2岳芳 3陈晓怡4
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作者信息

  • 1. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190;中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院 北京 100049
  • 2. 中国标准化研究院标准化理论战略研究所 北京 100191
  • 3. 中国科学院武汉文献情报中心 武汉 430071
  • 4. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 北京 100190
  • 折叠

摘要

[目的/意义]在全球能源转型和应对气候变化的背景下,氢能已成为众多国家实现可持续发展目标的战略选择.氢能项目作为氢能政策落实的直接载体,可反映国家的部署重点与发展意图.挖掘重点国家氢能项目数据的技术主题分布与演化趋势,揭示其氢能布局重点与演化路径、洞察氢能前沿发展方向与技术优势,可为我国谋划氢能产业发展路径提供有力借鉴.[方法/过程]本文以欧盟研发框架计划2000-2023年的氢能项目数据为分析对象,基于政策信息学视角,通过高频词共词分析和主题聚类方法,识别欧盟氢能政策高度关注的技术主题;通过前沿主题测度和战略坐标图分析,揭示欧盟氢能技术主题的前沿分布;通过点积余弦相似度计算主题间相似度,分析技术主题演化趋势并识别演化主路径.[结果/结论]研究发现,电解制氢、气氢储运、Power-to-X、风光制氢、电氢耦合是欧盟氢能政策最为聚焦的新兴前沿技术主题.主题演化呈现出从制氢技术向Power-to-X系统融合、构建以气氢储运为核心的泛欧供应体系、燃料电池技术向电氢耦合发展的总体特征.这主要受益于欧盟立足北海风电优势发展绿氢产业和Power-to-X,以及依托既有天然气基础设施降低氢储运成本.本研究为我国氢能产业发展提供3点建议:持续推动可再生能源多能互补的氢能供应体系;加强制氢关键技术研究,推进氢能多元应用和电氢耦合;因地制宜发展氢能产业,促进区域协调发展.

Abstract

[Purpose/Significance]Amid the global energy transition and climate change mitigation efforts,hydrogen has emerged as a strategic choice for many countries to achieve sustainable development goals.By an-alyzing the distribution and evolution of technical topics in hydrogen projects,which serve as direct carriers of policy implementation,we can gain insights into government funding priorities,grasp technological trends,and optimize resource allocation,thereby facilitating the development of the hydrogen industry.[Method/Process]Based on the policy informatics perspective,this study analyzes the EU's hydrogen energy project data from the Research and Innovation Framework Programmes between 2000 and 2023.Utilizing high-frequency word co-oc-currence analysis and topic clustering,the study identifies the technological topics highly focused on in the EU's hydrogen energy policy.Through the construction of frontier topic measurement indicators and strategic coordi-nate analysis,the study reveals the frontier distribution of EU hydrogen energy technology topics.By calculating the cosine similarity between topics using dot product,the study analyzes the evolution trends of technological topics and identifies the main paths of evolution.[Result/Conclusion]The research finds that electrolytic hy-drogen production,hydrogen storage and transportation,Power-to-X,wind and solar hydrogen production,and electricity-hydrogen coupling are the most focused emerging frontier technological topics in the EU's hydrogen energy policy.The topic evolution presents overall characteristics of shifting from hydrogen production technolo-gies to Power-to-X system integration,constructing a pan-European supply system centered on hydrogen storage and transportation,and developing fuel cell technology towards electricity-hydrogen coupling.This is mainly at-tributed to the EU's development of a green hydrogen industry and Power-to-X based on its North Sea wind power advantages,as well as reducing hydrogen storage and transportation costs by leveraging existing natural gas infra-structure.This study provides three insights for the development of China's hydrogen energy industry:continuous-ly promoting a hydrogen energy supply system with renewable energy complementarity;strengthening research on key technologies for hydrogen production and promoting diverse hydrogen applications and electricity-hydrogen coupling;and developing the hydrogen energy industry based on local conditions to promote coordinated regional development.

关键词

氢能/项目数据/主题演化/欧盟

Key words

hydrogen energy/project data/thematic evolution/European Union

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出版年

2024
智库理论与实践
中国科学院文献情报中心,南京大学

智库理论与实践

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
ISSN:2096-1634
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