战略决策研究2024,Vol.15Issue(2) :21-46.

"台前"与"幕后"之间:国际危机中美国"战争代理化"的策略选择

"On the Stage"or"Behind the Scenes":the Strategic Choices of Proxy War of United States in International Crisis

唐探奇
战略决策研究2024,Vol.15Issue(2) :21-46.

"台前"与"幕后"之间:国际危机中美国"战争代理化"的策略选择

"On the Stage"or"Behind the Scenes":the Strategic Choices of Proxy War of United States in International Crisis

唐探奇1
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作者信息

  • 1. 上海外国语大学国际关系与公共事务学院、中东研究所
  • 折叠

摘要

长期以来,美国战争代理化的模式差异及其原因并未得到足够关注.冷战后美国的战争代理化策略在不同时期存在程度差异.美国战争代理化决策的形成过程包括:国际危机产生-评估干预需要-选择干预策略-结束干预;具体决策时还会考虑国内观众成本等因素.通过对所选案例进行受控比较分析,在排除竞争性解释后可以发现:挑战者的行为体类型决定了在国际危机中美国战争代理化的基础值,体系压力的大小影响战争代理化程度的增减.

Abstract

The strategic choices of proxywar of the United States have not received sufficient atten-tion in terms of differences in patterns and the respective reasons.Since the end of the Cold War,the proxy strategy of the United States varies at different times.The general process of stra-tegic decision-making in American warfare includes:emergence of international crises,assess-ment of needed intervention,and selection of intervention strategies.It will also consider the cost of domestic audiences when making specific decisions.Through controlled comparative analysis and deducting other alternative explanations of the selected cases,this paper found that the actors'type of challenger determines the basic value of the strategic choices of the United States in international crisis,and the pressure of international structure affects its strategic choices of proxy war.

关键词

代理人战争/国际危机/间接干预/内战/权力政治

Key words

Proxy War/International Crisis/Indirect Intervention/United States/Power Politics

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出版年

2024
战略决策研究

战略决策研究

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