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社会治理绩效评价与政治信任——基于"中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS2018)"数据的工具变量分析

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政治信任是政治支持的重要层面,能够为政府治理提供重要支撑.关于政治信任的影响因素,既有研究主要集中于经济绩效评价和政治绩效评价对民众政治信任的影响,在社会治理绩效评价维度侧重社会保障和公共服务满意度对政治信任的影响,对政府解决社会矛盾和社会问题的治理绩效关注不够.从社会治理绩效评价角度,来分析制度绩效评价对政治信任的影响,具有可行性与必要性.采用"中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS2018)"数据,使用工具变量分析方法处理治理绩效评价变量对政治信任影响的内生性问题,可以发现,民众对当下社会矛盾与社会问题的治理绩效评价越高,其对各级政府的政治信任水平就越高.不断提升社会治理效能,及时有效解决社会问题、纾解社会矛盾,有助于维持民众的高水平政治信任.
Evaluation of Social Governance Performance and Political Trust——an instrumental variable analysis based on data from "China Family Panel Studies (CFPS2018)"
Political trust,which is a critical dimension of political support,serves as a key pillar underpinning governmental governance. Existing researches on the determinants of political trust primarily emphasize the in-fluence of economic and political performance evaluations. However,within the scope of social governance per-formance,prior studies have mainly focused on the effects of satisfaction with social security and public servic-es,while paying insufficient attention to the governance performance concerning the resolution of social con-flicts and issues. This study underscores the feasibility and necessity of analyzing the impact of institutional per-formance evaluations on political trust from the perspective of social governance performance. Using data from the"China Family Panel Studies(CFPS 2018)"and employing instrumental variable analysis to address the endogeneity issues in governance performance evaluation variables,this study reveals that higher public evalua-tions of governance performance in resolving social conflicts and issues are associated with higher levels of po-litical trust in governments at various levels. Enhancing social governance effectiveness and promptly and effec-tively addressing social problems and conflicts are crucial for maintaining high levels of political trust among the public.

social governanceperformance evaluationpolitical trustChina Family Panel Studiesinstrumental variable

王甫勤

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同济大学 政治与国际关系学院,上海 200092

社会治理 绩效评价 政治信任 中国家庭追踪调查 工具变量

2025

治理现代化研究

治理现代化研究

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2025.41(1)