首页|气候风险与系统性风险传染——来自中国上市金融机构的经验证据

气候风险与系统性风险传染——来自中国上市金融机构的经验证据

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本文基于 2011-2021 年中国 51 家上市金融机构的微观数据,构建了金融机构间系统性风险传染网络,并从微观层面实证研究了气候风险对金融机构间系统性风险传染的影响及传导路径.研究发现,气候风险事件下金融机构间的网络关联度更紧密,彼此间的系统性风险传染水平显著提升.气候风险主要通过加大投资者恐慌情绪提升金融机构间的系统性风险传染水平.相较于大型金融机构,气候风险冲击下中小型金融机构的系统性风险输出与风险输入水平更高;经济政策不确定性的提高会进一步加剧气候风险对金融机构的负面冲击;《巴黎协定》的提出会缓解气候物理风险对金融机构间系统性风险传染的负面影响,但在一定程度上会加剧气候转型风险对金融机构间系统性风险传染的负面影响.本文为防范气候相关金融风险与维护金融体系的稳定提供了政策启示和决策参考.
Climate Risk and Systemic Risk Contagion:Empirical Evidence from China's Listed Financial Institutions
Based on the micro-data of 51 listed financial institutions in China from 2011 to 2021,this paper constructs a systemic risk transmission network among financial institutions,and empirically studies the impact of climate risk on systemic risk transmission among financial institutions and the transmission path from the micro-level.The result shows that under climate risk events,the net-work among financial institutions is more closely related and the level of systemic risk transmission among them is significantly increased.Climate risk increases the level of systemic risk contagion a-mong financial institutions,mainly by increasing investor panic.Compared with large financial in-stitutions,small and medium-sized financial institutions have a higher level of systemic risk output and risk input under the impact of climate risk.The increase of economic policy uncertainty will fur-ther aggravate the negative impact of climate risk on financial institutions.The proposal of the Paris Agreement will alleviate the negative impact of physical risk on the transmission of systemic risk a-mong financial institutions,but to some extent,it will increase the negative impact of transforma-tion risk on the transmission of systemic risk among financial institutions.This study provides policy inspiration and decision-making reference for preventing climate-related financial risks and maintaining the stability of the financial system.

Climate RiskFinancial InstitutionsSystemic RiskRisk Contagion Network

崔婕、蔡源

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山西财经大学 金融学院,山西 太原 030006

气候风险 金融机构 系统性风险 风险传染网络

国家社会科学基金一般项目

22BJY165

2024

中南财经政法大学学报
中南财经政法大学

中南财经政法大学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.854
ISSN:1003-5230
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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