首页|人工智能促进服务出口技术复杂度提升吗?——来自29个主要经济体的证据

人工智能促进服务出口技术复杂度提升吗?——来自29个主要经济体的证据

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人工智能等数字技术在服务领域的应用推动了传统服务贸易逐渐数字化、智能化,本文利用2017-2021年斯坦福大学提供的人工智能发展指标和服务贸易"国家—行业"层面数据,针对人工智能对服务出口技术复杂度的影响及其作用机制展开经验研究.结果显示,人工智能显著促进了服务出口技术复杂度提升,该结论在经过一系列稳健性及内生性检验后依然成立;这种促进作用主要通过服务效率和服务业人力资本水平提升实现;一国网络使用成本越低、上网活跃度越高与宽带速度越快,越能增强人工智能对服务出口技术复杂度提升的赋能作用,但数字服务贸易、数据跨境流动与知识产权领域的限制会削弱该赋能作用,且人工智能的服务出口技术复杂度提升效应主要集中在人工智能创新能力较强的国家;人工智能显著推动了现代服务业与生产性服务业的出口技术复杂度提升.本文拓展和深化了人工智能对服务贸易的效应评估研究,为中国通过人工智能等数字技术赋能服务贸易高质量发展提供了决策参考.
Has Artificial Intelligence Boosted the Technical Complexity of Service Exports?Evidence from 29 Major Economies
The application of digital technologies such as artificial intelligence(AI)in the service field has promoted the gradual development of traditional service trade towards digitalization and in-telligence.Based on the AI development indices provided by Stanford University from 2017 to 2021 and the"country-industry"level data of service trade,this paper conducts an empirical study on the impact of AI on the technical complexity of service exports and its mechanism.The results show that AI significantly promotes the improvement of the technical complexity of service exports,which is still valid after a series of robustness and endogeneity tests.This promotion is mainly a-chieved through the mechanism of improving service efficiency and human capital level of the service industry.The lower the cost,the higher the internet activity and the faster the broadband speed of the exporting country,the more it can enhance the enabling effect of AI on the technical complexity of service exports,but the restrictions on digital service trade,cross-border data flow and intellec-tual property rights will weaken this enabling effect.Moreover,the enabling effect is mainly con-centrated in countries with strong AI innovation capabilities.Finally,AI has significantly promoted the technical complexity of trade and export between modern service industries and producer services industries.This paper expands and deepens the research on the evaluation of the effect of AI on trade in services,and provides a reference for China's decision-making to empower the high-quality development of trade in services through digital technologies such as AI.

Artificial IntelligenceTrade in ServicesExport Technical ComplexityDigital Tech-nology

姚亭亭、包雅楠

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海南大学 国际商学院,海南 海口 570228

济南大学 商学院,山东 济南 250002

人工智能 服务贸易 出口技术复杂度 数字技术

海南省哲学社会科学规划项目海南省教育厅项目教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目

HNSKJD22-2Hnky2024-722JJD790010

2024

中南财经政法大学学报
中南财经政法大学

中南财经政法大学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.854
ISSN:1003-5230
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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