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"双碳"背景下我国林业碳汇经济效率评价及影响因素

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[目的]研究林业碳汇经济效率能够促进新时期林业高质量发展,为助力实现我国"双碳"目标提供关键支撑。[方法]基于"双碳"背景,利用DEA-CCR模型测度 2016-2022 年我国 30 个省(区、市)林业碳汇经济效率,构建面板Tobit模型考察影响林业碳汇经济效率的相关因素,并基于Dagum基尼系数法深入研究我国东、中、西三大地区林业碳汇经济效率的区域差异及其来源。[结果]1)2016-2022年我国30个省(区、市)林业碳汇规模效率处于较高水平,综合效率水平和纯技术效率水平总体较低。2022年,我国林业碳汇综合效率值、林业碳汇纯技术效率值、林业碳汇规模效率值均有所提升。2)影响因素层面,贫困人口占比、外出务工比例、林业收入占比、工业化程度和降水量均对林业碳汇经济效率产生显著正向影响;城镇化的发展不利于提升林业碳汇经济效率;自然灾害率对林业碳汇经济效率的影响不显著。3)区域差异层面,2016-2022 年中部、东部两地区林业碳汇经济效率的区域内差异有所降低,区域协调发展格局初步形成,对实现"双碳"起到重要推动作用。[结论]应从强化林业碳汇制度体系建设、推动林业碳汇项目科学布局、逐步缩小区域发展差距等方面着手,稳步提升林业碳汇经济效率,切实助力"双碳"目标加快实现。
Evaluation and influencing factors of economic efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration in China under the background of"dual carbon"
[Objective]Studying the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration can promote high-quality development of forestry in the new era,and provide key support for achieving China's"dual arbon"goals.[Method]Based on the background of the"dual carbon"target,the DEA-CCR model was used to measure the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration in 30 provinces(regions,cities)of China from 2016 to 2022.A panel Tobit model was constructed to examine the relevant factors affecting the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration.The Dagum Gini coefficient method was used to conduct in-depth research on the regional differences and sources of forestry carbon sequestration economic efficiency in the three major regions of China,namely the East,Central,and West.[Result]From 2016 to 2022,the scale efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration in 30 provinces(districts,cities)in China was at a high level,while the overall level of comprehensive efficiency and pure technical efficiency was relatively low.In 2022,China's forestry carbon sequestration comprehensive efficiency value,forestry carbon sequestration pure technical efficiency value,and forestry carbon sequestration scale efficiency value have all improved.2)At the level of influencing factors,the proportion of impoverished population,the proportion of migrant workers,the proportion of forestry income,the degree of industrialization,and rainfall all had a significant positive impact on the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration.The development of urbanization was not conducive to improving the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration.The impact of natural disaster rates on the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sinks was not significant.3)At the level of regional differences,the intra-regional differences in the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sinks in the central and eastern regions decreased from 2016 to 2022,and the pattern of regional coordinated development was initially formed,which played an important role in promoting the realization of"dual carbon".[Conclusion]It is necessary to strengthen the construction of the forestry carbon sequestration system,promote the scientific layout of forestry carbon sequestration projects,and gradually narrow regional development gaps,in order to steadily improve the economic efficiency of forestry carbon sequestration and effectively assist in accelerating the realization of the"dual carbon"goal.

forestry carbon sequestration economic efficiencythe"dual carbon"goalDEA-CCRTobitDagum Gini coefficient

杨吉

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信阳农林学院 管理学院,河南 信阳 464000

林业碳汇经济效率 "双碳"目标 DEA-CCR Tobit Dagum基尼系数

国家社会科学基金青年项目河南省软科学研究计划项目河南省社会科学规划决策咨询项目

15CJY0532024004102302022JC52

2024

中南林业科技大学学报
中南林业科技大学

中南林业科技大学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.442
ISSN:1673-923X
年,卷(期):2024.44(8)