首页|用于立地质量评价的天然林生长模型构建方法

用于立地质量评价的天然林生长模型构建方法

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[目的]Fu等提出了一种基于立地生产潜力的天然林立地质量评价方法,该方法从理论上解决了如何结合环境和林分因子对不同立地类型及其生产力进行定量分析。本研究主要围绕该方法中的林分生长模型开展研究,以吉林省森林资源为研究对象,系统给出生长模型的建模方法,例如模型选型标准、模型参数化、参数估计和模型评价等。[方法]假定林分为等株生长,利用数学理论推导出林分断面积模型中直接或间接含有年龄情形时林分断面积连年生长量计算公式,并给出断面积连年生长量与林分断面积指数是否为单调函数的判别准则;基于哑变量方法分析不同分类变量对断面积生长的影响,即模型参数化;利用改进的最小二乘法求解参数化的林分断面积生长模型参数;以吉林省3 634个面积为0。06 hm2 的固定样地的4次连续观测数据为实例,构建林分断面积生长模型。[结果]本研究提出的方法能有效判断断面积连年生长量与林分密度指数是否为单调函数,从而为断面积模型选型提供捷径;建模时考虑模型参数化既能有效解释变量各等级之间的差异程度,又能提高模型预测精度;提出的改进最小二乘法能有效求解含哑变量的模型参数。[结论]本研究所给出的生长模型构建方法可为Fu等提出的天然林立地质量评价方法提供技术支撑。
Natural forest growth modelling for site quality evaluation
[Objective]A approach for natural forest site quality evaluation based on site productive potential has been proposed by Fu,et al.This approach could be used to evaluate the productive of different site types quantitatively by combining of environmental and stand variables in theory.This study mainly focusing on the forest growth models in this approach by using stand basal area in the whole Jilin province,detailed modelling approaches of growth models,such as model selection,model parameterization,parameter estimation and model evaluation,have been proposed.[Method]The computational formula for the current annual increment of basal area in the two situations with the basal area models containing age directly or indirectly had been derived using mathematical theory by assuming identity trees growth in stand.A criterion for testing the relationship of basal area current annual increment and stand density site whether being the monotonic function was proposed.The effects of different categorical variables on basal area were descripted by dummy variable approach,namely model parameterization.The parameters in the basal area growth model with parameterization were estimated by modified least square method.Stand basal area models were developed based on the four continuous measured data from 3 634 permanent plots with size of 0.06 hm2 in Jilin province.[Result]The relationship of basal area annual increment and stand density site whether being the monotonic function was tested effectively using the approach proposed in this study,which would provide an important criterion for model selection.Considering parameterization in the developed model not only explained the differences among different levels in variables effectively but also improved the precision of the developed models.The parameters in the dummy models could be estimated effectively by modified least square approach.[Conclusion]The approach for developing natural forest growth model proposed in this study could be used as a technical support for Fu et al.natural site quality evaluation approach.

natural forestsite quality evaluationgrowth modelmonotonic functionparameterization

张月莹、符利勇

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国家林业和草原局调查规划设计院,北京 100714

中国林业科学研究院资源信息研究所,北京 100091

天然林 立地质量评价 生长模型 单调函数 参数化

国家自然科学基金项目

31971653

2024

中南林业科技大学学报
中南林业科技大学

中南林业科技大学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.442
ISSN:1673-923X
年,卷(期):2024.44(10)