首页|基于MaxEnt模型预测西藏红豆杉在西藏的潜在适宜分布区

基于MaxEnt模型预测西藏红豆杉在西藏的潜在适宜分布区

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通过MaxEnt模型软件和ArcGIS软件预测西藏红豆杉在西藏的潜在分布范围,用ROC曲线检验预测精度,用刀切法筛选主要环境变量,并通过主要环境变量的响应曲线分析适宜西藏红豆杉的生态环境条件.结果表明,建立的预测模型的AUC值为0.991,预测精度高;西藏红豆杉主要分布于西藏东南区域,自喜马拉雅山脉北麓向东至横断山脉,波密县、巴宜区、墨脱县、察隅县、隆子县、洛扎县、亚东县、定结县、定日县、聂拉木县、吉隆县均有分布,与现地调查结果高度契合;海拔、年降水量、顶层有机碳含量、顶层可交换钠盐等环境因子对西藏红豆杉分布的影响很大.
Identification of Potential Distribution Areas of Taxus wallichiana in Xizang Based on MaxEnt Model
In this study,MaxEnt model software and ArcGIS software were used to predict the potential distri-bution range of Taxus wallichiana in Xizang.The prediction accuracy was tested by ROC curve,and the main environmental variables screened by jackknife test.The ecological environment conditions suitable for Taxus wallichiana were analyzed by the response curve of the main environmental variables.The results showed:the prediction accuracy was high,and the AUC value of the prediction model was 0.991;the distribution range of Taxus wallichiana in Xizang was mainly located in the southeast of Xizang,from the northern foot of the Hima-layas to the Hengduan Mountains,it was distributed in Bomi County,Bayi District,Motuo County,Chayu County,Longzi County,Luozha County,Yadong County,Dingjie County,Dingri County,Nyalam County and Jilong County,which were highly consistent with the results of the field investigation;elevation,annual precip-itation,organic carbon content of topsoil,exchangeable sodium salt of topsoil and other environmental factors had the great impact on the distribution of Taxus wallichiana.

Taxus wallichianaMaxEnt modelsuitable areasenvironmental factors

舒骏生、楚春晖、彭玺、张亚威、张晓晨、卓玛曲珍、米玛次仁

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国家林业和草原局中南调查规划院,湖南 长沙 410014

西藏芒康县林业和草原局,西藏 昌都 854000

西藏自治区林业调查规划研究院,西藏 拉萨 850005

西藏红豆杉 MaxEnt模型 适生区 环境因子

2024

中南林业调查规划
国家林业局中南林业调查规划设计院

中南林业调查规划

影响因子:0.366
ISSN:1003-6075
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
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