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多年冻土斜坡稳定性的模拟分析

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气候变暖改变了多年冻土活动层的水热状态和物理特性,降低了斜坡的稳定性.目前多年冻土斜坡的稳定性分析多采用极限平衡方法,然而这种方法难以分析活动层水分场、温度场、应力场和位移场及其耦合效应下的斜坡稳定性.因此,将Mohr-Coulomb准则整合加入到冻土热-水-力模型之中,建立了多年冻土斜坡的热水力耦合模型(coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical model,THM),定量分析了夏季极端高温对多年冻土斜坡稳定性的影响.为了验证模型的有效性,选择了青藏高原东部多年冻土区某一滑坡为研究对象,通过构建极限平衡模型和THM模型计算了其稳定性,并对比分析了模拟结果和现场观测数据的关系.研究结果表明,THM模型模拟结果与传统极限平衡方法计算结果相吻合,且数值模拟得到的滑移面位置、位移量级和最终形态与现场实测资料相一致;在夏季极端高温条件下,当多年冻土活动层融化至1.45 m时,斜坡将沿着融化锋面失稳,且滑移面基本平行于坡面.研究结果对寒区各类工程边坡塌陷和热融滑塌的过程认识具有一定的参考价值.
Simulation analysis of the stability of permafrost-related slope
Climate change has altered the hydrothermal regime and physical characteristics of the active layer,reducing the stability of slopes.Currently,the stability analysis of permafrost slopes is mostly based on the limit equilibrium method.However,this method is difficult to analyze the stability of slopes under the coupled effects of the moisture field,temperature field,stress field,displacement field of the active layer.Therefore,this article integrates the Mohr-Coulomb criterion into the coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical model of unsaturated permafrost,establishes a coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical model of permafrost slopes(THM)to quantitatively analyze the impact of extreme high temperatures in summer on the stability of permafrost slopes.To validate the effectiveness of the model,a landslide in the permafrost region of the eastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau was selected as the research object.The stability was calculated by constructing both the limit equilibrium model and the THM model,and the relationship between the simulation results and the field observation data were compared and analyzed.The research results show that the simulation results of the THM model are consistent with the calculation results of the traditional limit equilibrium method,and the location of the sliding surface,displacement magnitude,and final shape obtained from the numerical simulation are consistent with the field measurement data.Under extreme high temperature conditions in summer,when the active layer of permafrost melts to a depth of 1.45 m,the slope will become unstable along the melting front,and the sliding surface is parallel to the slope surface.The research results have a certain reference value for understanding the processes of slope collapse and thaw slumping in various engineering projects in cold regions.

permafrostlimit equilibrium modelcoupled thermo-hydro-mechanical modelslope stability

郝君明、贾佩钱、李旺平

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兰州理工大学 土木工程学院,甘肃 兰州 730050

甘肃省应急测绘工程研究中心,甘肃 兰州 730050

多年冻土 极限平衡模型 热水力耦合模型 斜坡稳定性

甘肃省重大专项甘肃省自然科学基金

23ZDFA00721JR7RA242

2024

自然灾害学报
中国地震局工程力学所 中国灾害防御协会

自然灾害学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.862
ISSN:1004-4574
年,卷(期):2024.33(2)
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