首页|基于微博文本数据的灾害信息公众关注分析——以河南暴雨洪涝事件为例

基于微博文本数据的灾害信息公众关注分析——以河南暴雨洪涝事件为例

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面对未来暴雨洪涝灾害风险挑战,加强关于风险沟通、公众参与的研究,提升风险管理有效性,将有助于减轻风险.社交媒体凭借其强大的信息传播能力,在灾害管理中日益重要.基于从新浪微博"河南暴雨"关键词爬取的微博信息 98078 条,通过文本提取、统计和共现网络分析公众关注度的变化情况,探究公众对不同灾害信息关注的差异以及关注倾向.研究结果表明:河南暴雨洪涝灾害事件演化过程分为潜伏期、爆发期、持续期和淡化期 4 个阶段,公众关注度的大小在灾害初期受致灾因子强度的影响,致灾因子达到一定强度并造成严重灾情时,会引起公众广泛而持续的关注.暴雨洪涝自然灾害事件的微博文本主要呈现致灾因子、灾害影响和响应 3 个主题,本事件根据信息内容可细分为 26 个类别,公众对不同时期、不同类型的灾害信息的关注热度不同,潜伏期公众最为关注山洪等致灾因子的预警信息,但关注度较低.在爆发期、持续期和淡化期,内涝成为公众最为关注的致灾因子,人员伤亡和交通受阻为公众最为关注的灾害影响,灾民网上求救、捐款捐物和现场救援为公众最为关注的响应行为.本次事件出现人员伤亡、交通受阻、经济损失、能源通讯、生产生活和次生灾害 6 个凝聚子群,其中人员伤亡、灾民网上求助、现场救援和捐款捐物作为本次暴雨洪涝灾害的核心事件,构成了最核心的"人员伤亡"主题的凝聚子群.研究成果为政府发布灾害信息提供参考和改进建议.
Research on public concern of disaster information based on Weibo data:Take the rainstorm flood event in Henan Province as an example
Facing the risk challenges of storms and floods in the future,strengthening the research on risk communication and public participation,improving the effectiveness of risk management will help to reduce disaster risks.Due to the effective information dissemination capabilities of social media,it is becoming increasingly crucial in disaster management.Based on 98078 pieces of Weibo information crawled of the keyword Henan from rainstorm from Sina Weibo,this paper analyzes the changes of public concern through text extraction,statistics,and co-occurrence network,and explores the differences and tendencies of public concern to different disaster information.The research results are as follows.The evolution process of rainstorm flood disaster event in Henan is divided into four stages:incubation period,outbreak period,sustained period,and fading period.The degree of public concern is affected by the intensity of hazards at the early stage of the disaster,and when the hazards reach a certain intensity and cause serious disasters,it will arouse extensive and sustained public concern.The Weibo text of rainstorm flood disaster event mainly presents three themes:hazards,disaster impact,and response.This event can be subdivided into 26 categories according to the information content.The public is concerned with different types of disaster information in different periods.In the incubation period,the public is most concerned about the early warning information of hazards such as flash floods,but the attention is low.During the outbreak period,sustained period,and fading period,waterlogging has become the most concerned hazards for the public,casualties and traffic jams are the most concerned disaster impact,and online help,donations and on-site rescue are the most concerned responses for the public.There are six cohesive subgroups in this event,including casualties,traffic jams,economic losses,energy communication,production and life,and secondary disasters.Among them,casualties,victims'online help,on-site rescue,and donations are the core events of this rainstorm flood disaster event,which constitute the core cohesive subgroup of the theme of casualties.Based on this,some suggestions for improving the release of disaster information for governments are put forward.

Henan Provincerainstorm floodWeibo datapublic concernco-occurrence network analysis

赵晓丽、苏筠

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北京师范大学 地理科学学部,北京 100875

河南 暴雨洪涝 微博数据 公众关注 共现网络分析

国家自然科学基金面上项目

41771572

2024

自然灾害学报
中国地震局工程力学所 中国灾害防御协会

自然灾害学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.862
ISSN:1004-4574
年,卷(期):2024.33(3)