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地方经济增长目标管理对碳排放效率的影响

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基于2007-2021年中国231个城市的面板数据,探究地方经济增长目标管理对碳排放效率的内在机制与地方政府行为下的异质性。结果表明:(1)地方经济增长目标会对碳排放效率产生负面效应,特别是在地方政府对经济增长目标采取硬约束、目标加码以及超额完成下,会进一步加剧对碳排放效率的负面效应,而"留有余地"的软约束能够在一定程度上促进碳排放效率的提升。(2)地方经济增长目标硬约束与目标加码会抑制产业结构高级化与技术创新水平的提升,进而对碳排放效率产生负面效应,而软约束能够提高产业结构高级化与技术创新水平,从而促进地方碳排放效率的提升。(3)地方经济增长目标对碳排放效率的影响存在着单一的产业结构高级化与技术创新门限效应,依靠产业结构高级化策略与技术创新策略是地方经济增长目标提高碳排放效率的有效手段。(4)地方GDP考核压力的提升不仅会弱化经济增长目标软约束对碳排放效率的促进作用,还会进一步加剧地方经济增长目标、省市间目标加码以及超额完成对碳排放效率的负面作用;而碳排放权交易政策的实施以及目标约束方式的转变可有效弱化地方经济增长目标管理对碳排放效率的负面影响。
The impact of local economic growth target management on carbon emissions efficiency
Based on panel data from 231 cities in China from 2007 to 2021,this study investigates the intrinsic mechanisms of local economic growth target management on carbon emission efficiency,as well as the heterogeneity in local government behavior.The results show that:(1)Local economic growth targets have a negative impact on carbon emission efficiency.Particularly when local governments impose strict constraints,intensify target requirements,and strive for overachievement of these targets,which will furgher exacerbate the adverse effects on carbon emission efficiency.On the other hand,the implementation of"flexible constraints"that allow some leeway can to a certain extent promote the improvement of carbon emission efficiency.(2)The strict constraints and intensified requirements of local economic growth targets hinder the upgrading of industrial structure and the advancement of technological innovation,thereby generating negative impacts on carbon emission efficiency.Conversely,flexible constraints can enhance the level of industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation,thereby promoting the improvement of local carbon emission efficiency.(3)The impact of local economic growth targets on carbon emission efficiency exhibits a singular threshold effect regarding the upgrading of industrial structure and technological innovation.Relying on strategic plans for industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation is an effective means for local economic growth targets to enhance carbon emission efficiency.(4)The increasing pressure of local GDP assessment not only weakens the promoting effect of flexible constraints on carbon emission efficiency in economic growth targets but also exacerbates the negative impact of intensified targets and competition among provinces and cities on carbon emission efficiency.However,the implementation of carbon emission trading policies and the shift in target constraint methods can effectively mitigate the negative influence of local economic growth target management on carbon emission efficiency.

economic growth target managementlocal government behavioradvanced industrial structuretechnological innovationcarbon emission efficiency

孙浩、郭劲光

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淮北师范大学经济与管理学院,淮北 235000

东北财经大学公共管理学院,大连 116025

经济增长目标管理 地方政府行为 产业结构高级化 技术创新 碳排放效率

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目

7227402971774027

2024

自然资源学报
中国自然资源学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

自然资源学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.073
ISSN:1000-3037
年,卷(期):2024.39(1)
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