Safety evaluation and classification of cross-border oil and gas transportation pipelines in China
Energy interconnection is an important part of the Belt and Road Initiative,and ensuring the safety of energy transportation pipelines is of great significance in promoting the high-quality development of the Belt and Road Initiative.This paper takes China's cross-border oil and gas transport pipelines as the research object,and constructs an oil and gas transport pipeline safety evaluation index system covering five dimensions of pipeline,resources,economy,politics and diplomacy from two aspects of pipeline safety and pipeline routing involving national security.Based on the entropy-catastrophe progression method,the safety of China's cross-border oil and gas transport pipelines in 2020 is evaluated and classified into categories.The results show that:(1)The catastrophe level values of crude oil transportation pipelines are ranked as China-Kazakhstan crude oil pipeline＞China-Russia crude oil pipeline＞China-Myanmar crude oil pipeline;the catastrophe level values of natural gas transportation pipelines are ranked as China-Central Asia natural gas pipeline line C＞China-Central Asia natural gas pipeline lines A and B＞east route of China-Russia natural gas pipeline＞China-Myanmar natural gas pipeline;and the pipelines have their respective advantages and disadvantages under the sub-dimensions.(2)According to the system clustering method,the pipelines are divided into two types:high security type and low security type.The high safety pipelines are in good condition at present,but there are still safety hazards;resource scarcity,political instability,and economic weakness have become unfavourable factors affecting the safety evaluation of low safety pipelines.
cross-border oil and gas transportation pipelinessafety evaluationentropy-catas-trophe progression methodthe Belt and Road InitiativeChina
万方数据
维普
