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珠三角巨型城市区域食物供应网络:特征、韧性与保障策略

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受极端天气、公共卫生和俄乌战争等重大突发事件影响,维育食物系统的稳定成为保障城市地区粮食安全的重要议题。利用食品企业公共交易数据构建耦合地理空间的食物供应网络,并结合网络分析方法,探究珠三角巨型城市区域的食物供应网络结构特征。在此基础上,评估了风险传播视角下区域食物供应网络的"动态"韧性表现,并识别影响网络稳定的关键性节点。研究发现:珠三角形成了以广佛、深圳为核心的多中心食物供应组织结构和城市自环结构,多中心避险能力较高;区域食物供应具有空间邻近性和来源多样性的特征,交易总量总体符合距离衰减规律;蓄意攻击相比随机攻击能显著降低食物供应网络的韧性,度中心性排名前15的节点是引发级联效应并导致网络性能严重下降的关键性节点。基于上述结果,从深化国内外生产网络合作、强化食物供应基础设施建设和优化国土空间规划格局等方面提出了保障区域食物供应稳定的政策建议。
Food supply networks in the Pearl River Delta mega-city region:Characteristics,resilience and security strategies
Affected by major emergencies such as extreme weather,public health,and the Russo-Ukrainian war,maintaining the stability of the food supply network system has become an essential issue in ensuring food security in urban areas.This study uses public transaction data of food enterprises to construct a coupled geospatial food supply network,exploring the food supply network structure and transaction distance characteristics in the Pearl River Delta mega-city region using a network analysis approach.On this basis,the"dynamic"resilience of regional food supply networks from a risk propagation perspective is assessed,and critical nodes affecting network stability are identified.The results show that the PRD has formed a polycentric food supply organizational structure and urban self-loop structure with Guangzhou-Foshan and Shenzhen as the core,and the polycentric structure has a high ability to avoid external risks;the regional food supply is characterized by spatial proximity and source diversity,and the total number of transactions generally conforms to the distance decay law;the attacks significantly reduce the resilience of the food supply network compared with random failures,and the top 15 nodes in the degree centrality ranking are the critical nodes that trigger the cascade effect and lead to severe degradation of network performance.Based on the above results,policy recommendations to ensure the stability of regional food supply are proposed in terms of deepening domestic and international production network cooperation,strengthening food supply infrastructure construction,and optimizing territorial spatial planning patterns.

network resiliencecascading effectsfood supply networksmega-city regionur-ban food systemfood security

王彦开、赵渺希、吉瑞、师浩辰

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华南理工大学建筑学院,广州 510641

亚热带建筑与城市科学全国重点实验室,广州 510641

网络韧性 级联效应 食物供应网络 巨型城市区域 城市食物系统 食物安全

国家自然科学基金

51711530711

2024

自然资源学报
中国自然资源学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

自然资源学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.073
ISSN:1000-3037
年,卷(期):2024.39(3)
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