首页|碳排放交易制度的减污降碳效应研究——基于合成控制法的实证分析

碳排放交易制度的减污降碳效应研究——基于合成控制法的实证分析

扫码查看
在生态环境与气候变化协同治理的要求下,碳排放交易制度作为典型的市场激励型环境规制工具,其减污降碳效应备受关注。基于2000-2020年全国30个省(市、自治区)的面板数据,采用合成控制法评估碳排放交易制度对试点地区减污降碳的影响效果,并运用双重差分模型检验碳排放交易制度推动减污降碳的作用路径。研究结果表明:总体上,碳排放交易制度在试点地区具有较为显著的减污降碳效应;考察试点地区个体政策实施效应,北上广的减污降碳效果最为显著;作用机制分析表明,碳排放交易制度可以通过促进产业结构升级、能源结构优化、绿色技术创新和能源利用效率提升实现减污降碳协同治理;区域异质性分析表明,碳排放交易制度对东部地区的减污降碳效应更为显著;不同大气污染物异质性分析显示,碳排放交易制度对PM2。5减排有更明显的效果。
The effect of pollution control and carbon reduction of the carbon emission trading system:An empirical analysis based on the Synthetic Control Method
Under the requirement of collaborative governance of the ecological environment and climate change,the carbon emission trading system(CETS),as a typical market-based environmental regulation tool,has attracted much attention for its role in pollution control and carbon reduction.Based on the panel data of 30 provincial-level regions(hereafter province)in China from 2000 to 2020,this paper applies the Synthetic Control Method to evaluate the effect of CETS in pollution control and carbon reduction in pilot provinces.The paper also applies the DID model to test the paths of CETS in promoting pollution control and carbon reduction.The findings are:In general,the effect of CETS in pilot provinces is more significant in pollution control and carbon reduction.In terms of individual policy,the effect on pollution control and carbon reduction in Beijing,Shanghai and Guangdong is most significant,followed by other provinces and cities.The study of the function mechanisms has shown that CETS is likely to realize pollution control and carbon reduction by promoting industrial structure upgrading,energy structure optimization,green technology innovation and energy use efficiency improvement.The analysis of regional heterogeneity has shown that the effect of CETS on pollution control and carbon reduction in the eastern region is more significant.The heterogeneity analysis of different types of air pollutants has indicated that CETS is more effective in terms of PM2.5 emission reduction.

carbon emission trading systempollution control and carbon emission reductionSynthetic Control MethodDifference-in-Difference model

张雪纯、曹霞、宋林壕

展开 >

山西财经大学法学院,太原 030006

澳门科技大学法学院,中国澳门,氹仔 999078

碳排放交易制度 减污降碳 合成控制法 双重差分模型

国家社会科学基金

14BFX185

2024

自然资源学报
中国自然资源学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

自然资源学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.073
ISSN:1000-3037
年,卷(期):2024.39(3)
  • 56