Spatiotemporal dynamic and obstacle factor analysis of tourism economic resilience in Chinese urban agglomeration
The resilience of the tourism economy emphasizes the ability of the tourism ecosys-tem to absorb or withstand disturbances and other pressures,enabling the development of the tourism industry to maintain its structure and function.Good tourism resilience management can restore the supply of tourism products and the functions of tourism services at the fastest speed through reasonable utilization of internal and external resources.Supported by multi-source data,a tourism economic resilience evaluation index system for Chinese urban agglom-erations was constructed.The combination dynamic evaluation method was used to quantita-tively analyze the tourism economic resilience of each urban agglomeration and identify the level of resilience.The spatial kernel density method was used to dynamically simulate and ana-lyze the evolution process and spatial distribution pattern of tourism economic resilience in ur-ban agglomerations.An obstacle model was used to analyze the negative impact of each criteri-on layer and indicator layer on tourism economic resilience,in order to find path support for im-proving the level of tourism economic resilience.The results indicate that:(1)The tourism eco-nomic resilience of most urban agglomerations showed an upward trend from 2010 to 2018,re-flecting the overall enhancement of tourism economy in different regions of China.However,due to the impact of the COVID-19 in 2020,the resilience of tourism economy declined.(2)The spa-tial pattern and evolution law of the resilience development of tourism economy in urban ag-glomerations are basically consistent with that of regional economic development.(3)The de-velopment of adjacent cities within the urban agglomeration has a relatively small impact on the resilience level,and the overall tourism economic resilience level of the urban agglomera-tion is relatively independent.(4)The application of digital tools in the tourism industry has a positive impact on enhancing resilience.This article proposes suggestions to strengthen resil-ience in responding to emergencies,promote the widespread application of digitalization and in-formatization in the tourism industry,optimize the infrastructure and resource allocation of the tourism market,and establish the cooperation mechanism between urban clusters,in order to enhance the overall resilience of urban clusters.