首页|城乡融合对低碳土地利用效率影响的空间效应——以长三角地区为例

城乡融合对低碳土地利用效率影响的空间效应——以长三角地区为例

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城乡融合是国土空间低碳转型的重要路径,在区域一体化背景下探究其对低碳土地利用的作用机制具有重要意义。在测度城乡融合发展水平和低碳土地利用效率的基础上,运用ESTDA框架和空间计量模型量化了长三角地区城乡融合对低碳土地利用的时空动态性,并对具体因素及其空间效应进行甄别。结果表明:(1)2005-2020年长三角城乡融合发展水平与低碳土地利用效率在波动中上升,区域差异显著并呈现以区域中心城市为核心的扩散模式;(2)城乡融合发展水平与低碳土地利用效率之间具有显著的空间正相关且空间依赖程度呈增强态势,局部格局保持稳定并表现出HH型和LL型的空间聚类趋同现象;(3)城乡融合发展相对于低碳土地利用格局演化的空间整合性较弱,且局部关联和动态跃迁展现出一定的路径依赖和空间锁定特征;(4)城乡融合是影响低碳土地利用的关键因素,其发展水平每提高1%将导致本地低碳土地利用效率增加0。2%,而控制因素中科技投入和对外开放的直接效应为正,财政压力和生态压力的直接效应为负,财政压力、环境规制、公共服务设施和土地市场化则均不存在显著的空间溢出效应。研究结果可为制定低碳高效的土地利用政策,促进城乡融合高质量发展提供参考。
Spatial effects of urban-rural integration on low-carbon land use efficiency:A case study of the Yangtze River Delta
Urban-rural integration is a crucial avenue for the low-carbon transformation of na-tional spaces,particularly in understanding its mechanisms for low-carbon land use within the context of regional integration.Employing the ESTDA framework and spatial econometric models,we quantified the spatio-temporal dynamics of urban-rural integration's impact on low-carbon land use in the Yangtze River Delta.This involved assessing the development level of urban-rural integration and the efficiency of low-carbon land use.Our analysis revealed the fol-lowing findings:(1)Between 2005 and 2020,the Yangtze River Delta experienced a fluctuating upward trend in both urban-rural integration development level and low-carbon land-use effi-ciency,with notable regional disparities and a spreading pattern centered around the region's central cities.(2)A significant positive spatial correlation was observed between urban-rural in-tegration and low-carbon land use efficiency,with an increasing spatial dependence.Local pat-terns remained stable,showing spatial clustering convergence for both high-high(HH)and low-low(LL)types.(3)In contrast to the evolution of low-carbon land use patterns,urban-rural spa-tial integration exhibited weak correlations,with local patterns and dynamic transitions display-ing path-dependent and spatially locked features.(4)Urban-rural integration emerged as a key factor influencing low-carbon land use,with each 1%increase in its development level result-ing in a 0.2%increase in local low-carbon land use efficiency.Among the control factors,the direct effects of technological inputs and the degree of opening up were positive,while the di-rect effects of financial and ecological pressures were negative.Fiscal stress,environmental reg-ulation,public service facilities,and land marketization showed no significant spatial spillover effects.The results of our study provide references for formulating low-carbon and efficient land-use policies,promoting high-quality development through the integration of urban and ru-ral areas.

urban-rural integrationland use efficiencyspatial spillover effectlow-carbonYangtze River Delta

刘笑杰、金晓斌、罗秀丽、周寅康、肖人荣

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南京大学地理与海洋科学学院,南京 210023

自然资源部海岸带开发与保护重点实验室,南京 210023

自然资源部碳中和与国土空间优化重点实验室,南京 210023

兰州大学资源环境学院,兰州 730000

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城乡融合 土地利用效率 空间溢出效应 低碳 长三角

国家自然科学基金自然资源部海岸带开发与保护重点实验室开放基金

422712592021CZ-EPK07

2024

自然资源学报
中国自然资源学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

自然资源学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.073
ISSN:1000-3037
年,卷(期):2024.39(6)
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