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RCEP区域农产品贸易的网络特征及影响因素分析

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RCEP的签署与实施为中国农产品贸易高质量发展提供了重要机遇.运用社会网络分析法刻画农产品贸易网络特征,采用拓展引力模型分析RCEP区域农产品贸易影响因素.结果表明:(1)全球农产品贸易网络空间凝聚力持续增强,连通性显著提高,贸易规模不断扩展,呈现"中心—边缘"结构;(2)RCEP成员国进口格局多样化趋势明显,出口稳步增长,农产品贸易伙伴不断增加,贸易地位出现分化态势,逐渐形成以中国为核心的单核结构;(3)经济制度质量提升和签订自贸协定有利于改善贸易环境,降低贸易成本,促进农产品贸易.据此,提出中国应充分利用RCEP实施契机,发挥在区域内的核心影响力,推动高质量规则落地,形成区域高互补性农产品市场,提升农产品出口竞争力.
The network characteristics and influencing factors of agricultural products trade in RCEP region
The signing and implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partner-ship(RCEP)have provided crucial external opportunities for the high-quality development of China's agricultural products trade.This paper uses the social network analysis method to char-acterize the agricultural products trade network,and utilizes the extended gravity model to ana-lyze the influencing factors in agricultural products trade within the RCEP region.The results show that:(1)The spatial cohesion of the global agricultural products trade network continues to increase,the connectivity is significantly improved,and the trade scale continues to expand,with a distinctive"center-periphery"structure.(2)RCEP member countries demonstrate a clear trend of diversified import patterns,coupled with steady growth in exports.The number of glob-al agricultural products trade partners continues to rise,leading to a differentiation in trade sta-tus and gradually forming a single-core structure centered around China.(3)The improvement in the quality of economic institutions and the signing of Free Trade Agreement(FTA)contrib-ute to enhancing the agricultural products trade environment,reducing trade costs,and promot-ing agricultural products trade.It is suggested that China should fully utilize the opportunity of RCEP implementation,exert its core influence within the RCEP region,promote the implemen-tation of RECP high-quality rules,form a highly complementary agricultural products market within the region,and enhance the export competitiveness of agricultural products.

RCEPagricultural products tradetrade networktrade gravity model

徐邵文、张蕙杰、钱静斐

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中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081

中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京 100081

RCEP 农产品贸易 贸易网络 拓展引力模型

2024

自然资源学报
中国自然资源学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

自然资源学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.073
ISSN:1000-3037
年,卷(期):2024.39(9)