中山大学学报(社会科学版)2025,Vol.65Issue(1) :197-206.DOI:10.13471/j.cnki.jsysusse.2025.01.021

企业债权结构对策略性违约的防御效应研究——来自中国信用债发行与违约的证据

Research on the Defense Effect of Corporate Debt Structure on Strategic Defaults:Evidence from China's Credit Bond Issuance and Default

李胜兰 余暮宁 史欣向
中山大学学报(社会科学版)2025,Vol.65Issue(1) :197-206.DOI:10.13471/j.cnki.jsysusse.2025.01.021

企业债权结构对策略性违约的防御效应研究——来自中国信用债发行与违约的证据

Research on the Defense Effect of Corporate Debt Structure on Strategic Defaults:Evidence from China's Credit Bond Issuance and Default

李胜兰 1余暮宁 2史欣向3
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 中山大学岭南学院、中山大学自贸区综合研究院(广州 510275)
  • 2. 中山大学岭南学院(广州 510275)
  • 3. 中山大学马克思主义学院(广州 510275)
  • 折叠

摘要

债权结构如何对策略性违约形成防御效应以及由此产生的代价是一个新的研究问题.本文首先在不完全契约和不完全信息的理论框架下,分析债权结构对企业策略性违约的影响机制,其次利用《企业破产法》中的现金流测试法和资产负债测试法区分策略性违约和一般性违约,并运用2014-2019年中国信用债发行与违约的数据,对理论假说进行验证.研究发现:分散的、社会化的公众债券融资比重减少,会降低策略性违约的概率;公众债券融资比重较低的企业不仅有着较慢的违约速度,同时也有着较低的违约金额占比;但对于那些经营状况较良好的非濒临破产企业,降低公众债券融资比重却可能增加企业的负担和弱化破产威胁,对企业资产利润率的改善并没有多少帮助.最后提出解决问题的相关政策,包括合理设计稳定的市场规则以激励企业自身形成抵御策略性违约的内部免疫机制,以及提供充足有效的市场工具使企业能够及时调整资产和债权结构等.

Abstract

How debt structure can create a defensive effect against strategic default and the associated costs is a new research issue.We analyze the impact mechanism,distinguish strategic defaults from general defaults using the cash flow and balance sheet tests outlined in the Enterprise Bankruptcy Law,and verify theoretical hypotheses with data on credit bond issuance and default in China from 2014 to 2019.The research findings reveal that a decrease in the proportion of diversified and socialized public bond financing reduces the probability of strategic default;enterprises with a lower proportion of public bond financing not only exhibit a slower default rate but also have a lower proportion of default amounts;for non-bankrupt enterprises with relatively good operating conditions,reducing the proportion of public bond financing could increase the enterprise's burden and weaken the threat of bankruptcy,with little to no improvement in the return on assets.Relevant policies to address the issue include the rational design of stable market rules to encourage enterprises to develop their own internal immune mechanisms against strategic default,and the provision of sufficient and effective market tools to enable enterprises to adjust their asset and debt structures in a timely manner.

关键词

债权结构/债券违约/策略性违约/破产

Key words

debt structure/bond default/strategy default/bankruptcy

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2025
中山大学学报(社会科学版)
中山大学

中山大学学报(社会科学版)

北大核心
影响因子:0.725
ISSN:1000-9639
段落导航相关论文