首页|京津冀城市群城镇化与生态环境耦合协调机理及影响因素研究

京津冀城市群城镇化与生态环境耦合协调机理及影响因素研究

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为探究生态环境保护与城市群城镇化协同发展,以京津冀城市群为研究区域,通过熵权法、耦合协调模型和逐步回归模型,测度了 2012-2021年京津冀城市群城镇化与生态环境系统的耦合协调度,对城市群及内部各发展阶段城市的耦合协调发展主控要素进行识别.结果显示:京津冀城市群城镇化与生态环境耦合协调性逐渐增强;城市群城镇化与生态环境耦合协调空间演化呈现为"中心协调,外围失调"的环状分布格局,两极分化严重但差距在逐步缩小;城市群耦合协调发展水平受人口城镇化、经济城镇化、水资源和生态资源影响最大,协调发展型城市和过度发展型城市主要受创新能力、政策要素和生态资源的影响,失调发展型城市受到人才资源、创新能力影响较大.在此基础上,提出发挥中心城市辐射带动优势、关注影响因素作用和制定针对性区域发展规划的对策建议.
Study on coupling coordination mechanism and influencing factors between urbanization and ecological environment in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster
In order to investigate the synergistic development of ecological environmental protection and urbanization of city clusters,the entropy power method,coupled coordination model and stepwise regression model are used with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster as the study area.The coupled coordination degree of urbanization and ecological environment system in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster from 2012 to 2021 was measured,and the influential elements of the coupled and coordinated development of the city cluster and the cities at various stages of development within it were identified.The results showed that the coordination of urbanization and ecological environment coupling in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster is gradually increasing.The spatial evolution of urbanization and ecological environment coupling and coordination in city clusters shows a ring-shaped distribution pattern of"Central coordination,peripheral dissonance",with serious polarization but the gap is gradually narrowing.The level of coupled and coordinated development of city clusters is most affected by population urbanization,economic urbanization,water resources and ecological resources.Coordinated and overdeveloped cities are mainly influenced by innovation capacity,policy elements and ecological resources.Dysfunctional development cities are more affected by human resources and innovation capacity.On this basis,it put forward recommendations that give play to the radiation-driven advantages of the central city,pay attention to the role of influencing factors and formulate regional development plans.

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city clusterurbanizationecological environmentcoupled coordinationstepwise regression models

王磊、税璐瑶、田晓倩

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天津城建大学经济与管理学院,天津 300384

京津冀城市群 城镇化 生态环境 耦合协调 逐步回归模型

天津市教育委员会科研创新项目

2022SKY394

2024

再生资源与循环经济
天津再生资源研究所 中国再生资源回收利用协会

再生资源与循环经济

影响因子:0.367
ISSN:1674-0912
年,卷(期):2024.17(7)