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环境规制与绿色转型:基于绿色财税视角的分析

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环境规制是政府引导绿色转型的重要政策.本文基于结构转型框架刻画出环境规制通过成本效应和激励效应影响绿色转型,并将传导渠道分解为绿色福利性财税支出和生产性财税支出两条路径.数值模拟发现,环境规制对绿色转型呈现"倒U型"影响,两条路径是实现非线性影响的重要原因.在此基础上,结合 2007-2020 年 944 家中国上市企业数据与 269 个城市的数据,并选取政府环境治理水平作为减缓环境规制内生性的工具变量,最后运用面板门槛模型明晰环境规制与绿色转型的非线性关系.结果表明,当前中国环境规制处于低水平,环境规制能够显著促进绿色转型,这主要是通过绿色福利性财税支出和生产性财税支出两条渠道来实现,且绿色福利性财税支出的推动作用要强于生产性财税支出;政治集权和经济分权背景下,上级政府环境治理力度会有效提高地方环境规制强度来加快绿色转型;当环境规制和经济发展水平分别作为门槛变量时,环境规制对绿色转型的正向促进作用将随着规制强度和经济发展水平的上升而下降.本文研究有助于在结构转型框架下识别环境规制影响绿色转型的理论机制,为从绿色财税视角全面评估政府环境治理效果提供支持.
Environmental Regulation and Green Transformation:Based on Green Finance and Taxation
Environmental regulation is an important policy of the government to promote green transformation.Based on the structural transformation framework,the paper describes the impact of environmental regulations on green transformation through cost effects and incentive effects,then divides the transmission mechanism into green welfare finance and tax expenditure and green productive finance and tax expenditure.Numeric simulation reveals that environmental regulation has an inverted"U"effect on green transformation.And these two paths are important reasons for achieving nonlinear effects.On this basis,the paper combines data coming from 944 Chinese listed enterprise and 269 cities in 2007-2020,and selects the level of government environmental governance as an instrumental variable,as well as uses Panel threshold model to clarify the non-linear impact of environmental regulations on green transformation.The paper finds Chinese environmental regulation is at a low level in the present situation,so environmental regulation can significantly promote green transformation.This is mainly achieved through two channels:green welfare finance and tax expenditure and green productive finance and tax expenditure.And the promotion of green welfare financed and tax expenditure is stronger than that of productive.Political centralization economic decentralization system leads to environmental governance of the superior government strengths the intensity of local environmental regulation.When environmental regulation and economic development level are used as threshold variables respectively,the positive role of environmental regulation in green transformation will reduce with the regulation intensity and economic development level rising.These findings can distinguish theoretical mechanism of environmental regulation affecting green transformation under the framework of structural transformation,and comprehensively provide evidences from a perspective on green finance and taxation.

Environmental regulationGreen finance and taxationGovernment governanceGreen transformation

康莹、严成樑

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中央财经大学经济学院

环境规制 绿色财税 政府治理 绿色转型

国家社会科学基金项目

22VRC176

2024

中央财经大学学报
中央财经大学

中央财经大学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.238
ISSN:1000-1549
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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