A Study on the Deterrent Effect of House Prices at the Place of Domicile on Population Flow:The Analysis Based on CLDS2016 Survey Data
High house prices and population mobility are two important issues that haunt China's urbanization process,and they are also policy focus points that need urgent attention in the second half of urbanization to achieve high-quality development of urbanization.This paper examines the impact of domicile house price on the decision-making of cross-provincial mobility of the mobile population at the individual level by using the Probit model with the data from the 2016 CLDS survey.It is found that the higher the house price of the domicile,the lower the willingness of the mobile population to move across provinces,and the house price of the domicile has a deterrent effect on the decision of the mobile population to move across provinces.Compared with the coastal region and urban population,high domicile house prices have a stronger effect on cross-provincial mobility of the inland region and rural household population.Based on the results of the study,this paper argues that the quality of urbanization development should be improved from three perspectives:optimizing the real estate market control policy,expanding the coverage of public services for the migrant population,and upgrading the skill quality of the rural transfer population.
Domicile house pricePopulation mobilityInter-provincial mobilityDeterrent effect