CHINA'S 2012 TO 2021 INDUSTRIAL DEVIATION BASED ON IMPROVED THEIL INDEX AND SHIFT-SHARE MODEL
Overviews over references reveal that defects are existing in traditional industrial deviation E coefficient,Theil Index and Shift-Share model.Defects in E coefficient and Theil Index are in calculating principles,and those in Shift-Share model are in rationality of selecting reference system and feasibility of data collection.This paper presents an improved model that is used to study China's 2012 to 2021 industrial deviation via cases.It concludes that China's industrial deviation is diminishing.According to the corrected model and combined with the current global environment,this paper suggests that the first industry rely on scientific innovation to promote rural labors'orderly migration between urban and rural areas and to materialize agricultural scale and modernization,that the second industry needs to be upgraded to reach and maintain an independent and complete industrial system,to inputs more in basic research to outbreak western technical blockage,that the third industry be focusing on financing and scientific education,increasing Hongkong,Shanghai and Beijing's positions in world financing center,using financial innovation to avoid unfavorable constraints and impacts from global financing system,practicing the strategy for invigorating the country through science and education and exploring educational modes appropriate China's situation from primary school to university stages.
three industriesdeviation degreeTheil IndexShift-Share modelindustrial structural optimization
万方数据
