Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment in Shenzhen and Related Discussion
This study utilizes the overall requirements of the first national comprehensive natural disaster risk survey as its framework and incorporates the specific characteristics of Shenzhen City.Using individual surveyed houses in Shenzhen City(excluding the Shen-zhen-Shantou Special Cooperation Zone)as the basis for assessment data,it presents a seismic vulnerability matrix tailored to Shenzhen's housing characteristics.The study assesses personnel mortality and economic losses based on seismic damage evaluations of individual houses.The seismic disaster risk assessment in Shenzhen considers four exceedance probability levels:63%in 50 years(common earthquakes),10%in 50 years(design earthquakes),2%in 50 years(rare earthquakes),and 1%in 100 years(extremely rare earthquakes).It discusses the risks of personnel mortality and direct economic losses to buildings from the 1%in 100 years(extremely rare earthquake)event and provides recommendations for risk management.