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金融分割视域下地方债务对中小银行风险承担的影响

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由于现实存在的金融市场分割,地方政府的举债和化债行为对地方性中小商业银行的信贷业务和风险承担带来巨大影响.利用动态随机一般均衡模型,通过数值模拟分析地方债务与中小银行风险承担之间的内在关联,并利用2015-2022年我国省级地方债务与中小银行数据进行实证检验.研究结果表明:地方债务扩张会加剧中小银行风险承担水平,尤其对中西部地区的中小银行以及农商行的影响更加明显;不加入控制变量、考虑内生性问题和进行稳健性检验后上述结论依然成立.因此,优化债务结构,厘清政银关系,对于守住不发生系统性金融风险底线具有重要意义.
The Impact of Local Debt on the Risk-taking of Small and Medium-sized Banks from the Perspective of Financial Segmentation
Due to the segmentation of financial markets in reality,the borrowing and borrowing behavior of local gov-ernments has a huge impact on the credit business and risk bearing of local small and medium-sized com-mercial banks.This article uses a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyze the intrinsic correlation between local debt and risk bearing of small and medium-sized banks through numerical simu-lation,and empirically tests it using data from provincial-level local debt and small and medium-sized banks in China from 2015 to 2022.The research results indicate that the expansion of local debt will exac-erbate the risk-taking level of small and medium-sized banks,especially the impact on small and medium-sized banks and rural commercial banks in the central and western regions.After analyzing the channels of action,considering endogeneity issues,and conducting robustness tests,this conclusion still holds.Therefore,optimizing the debt structure and clarifying the relationship between government and banks is of great significance for maintaining the bottom line of preventing systemic financial risks.

financial segmentationlocal debtcommercial banksrisk-taking

金虎斌、贺瑞

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郑州航空工业管理学院,河南 郑州 450046

金融分割 地方债务 商业银行 风险承担

2024

郑州航空工业管理学院学报(社会科学版)
郑州航空工业管理学院

郑州航空工业管理学院学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.2
ISSN:1009-1750
年,卷(期):2024.43(5)