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改进Fisher判别法的突水水源快速判别模型

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为快速有效地判别矿井突水水源位置,预防水害事故的发生,根据平煤五矿实际水文地质特征,针对砂岩、太灰和寒灰含水层水质差异性,收集34组水样资料,并选取K+ +Na+、Ca2+、Mg2+、SO42-、Cl-、HCO3-六大常规水化学离子作为判别因子,开展水化学特征分析;结合PCA降维统计算法,建立改进的Fisher水源判别模型,并利用待测样本对比改进前后Fisher模型的判别结果,同时将训练样本回代到改进模型中进行验证.结果表明,根据水化学类型无法准确区分寒灰水与太灰水;利用改进Fisher判别模型测试10组待测样本,判别准确率为100%,相较于基础Fisher模型,准确率提高了20%,应用改进Fisher判别模型可大幅提升水源识别准确率;已知训练样本的回代结果显示,改进Fisher判别结果与实际情况基本吻合.通过2种模型的对比分析,采用改进Fisher模型进行矿井水源识别准确率及可靠性高,具有一定研究价值,可为矿井水源识别提供新的思路.
A fast discriminant model of water inrush source based on improved Fisher discriminant method
In order to effectively and quickly determine the location of water inrush source and prevent the occurrence of mine water dis-aster accidents,according to the actual hydrogeological characteristics of No.5 Coal Mine of Pingdingshan Coal Mine,34 groups of water sample data were collected according to the difference of water quality in sandstone,limestone and cold ash aquifers,and six convention-al hydrochemical ions K+ +Na+,Ca2+,Mg2+,SO42-,Cl- and HCO3- were selected as discriminant factors to analyze the hydrochemical characteristics.An improved Fisher water source discrimination model was established by combining PCA dimensionality reduction sta-tistical algorithm,and the discriminant results of the Fisher model before and after the improvement were compared by using the samples to be tested.At the same time,the training samples were substituted back into the improved model for verification.The results showed that cold grey water and tai grey water cannot be distinguished accurately according to hydrochemical type.The improved Fisher discrim-inant model was used to test 10 groups of samples to be tested,and the discriminant accuracy was 100%.Compared with the basic Fish-er model,the accuracy improved by 20%.The application of the improved Fisher discriminant model can greatly improve the accuracy of water source identification.The back substitution results of the known training samples show that the improved Fisher discriminant re-sults were basically consistent with the actual situation.Through the comparative analysis of the two models,the improved Fisher model for mine water source identification has high accuracy and reliability,which has certain research value and can provide new ideas for mine water source identification.

water inrush sourceFisher discriminant modelwater source identificationprincipal component analysis

韩泰然、李昂、刘军亮

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中国平煤神马控股集团有限公司,河南平顶山 467099

炼焦煤资源绿色开发全国重点实验室,河南平顶山 467099

西安科技大学建筑与土木工程学院,陕西西安 710054

平顶山天安煤业股份有限公司,河南平顶山 467000

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突水水源 Fisher判别模型 水源识别 主成分分析

陕西省自然科学基础研究计划重点项目

2020JZ-52

2024

能源与环保
河南省煤炭科学研究院有限公司 河南省煤炭学会

能源与环保

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.221
ISSN:1003-0506
年,卷(期):2024.46(3)
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