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Assessment of Sustainable Development System in Suihua City, China

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可持续发展是一个复杂而系统的问题。从系统科学的角度出发,用成分分析方法对其进行研究至关重要。城市发展可持续性是人们关注的焦点之一,然而,如何衡量和评估可持续性的共识却很少。本文设计了一个框架,从经济,社会,人口,资源和环境等方面对中国黑龙江省绥化市的发展可持续性进行了评估。我们采用主成分分析 (PCA) 来减小维度,并将原始指标简化为12个指标。此外,还采用层次结构和综合多准则评价方法对绥化市可持续发展体系进行了评估。然后,通过层次分析法 (AHP) 获得指标的权重。此外,还计算并分析了城市综合发展水平,发展可持续性,坐标度。通过分析,我们知道子系统,特别是资源和环境子系统的开发水平波动很大。绥化市可持续发展系统的综合发展水平1999年上升。这是由于传统的经济发展模式在城市1999年中减少了高能耗的结果。同时,很明显,1990-2002年绥化市发展水平不稳定,1998年转向,发展可持续,1999-2002年发展趋势更加和谐。
Sustainable development is a complex and systemic issue. It is essential to study it by the component analysis method from the view of system science. The urban developmental sustainability is one of focuses that people has paid more attention to, however, little common understanding how to measure and evaluate the sustainability has been gotten. In this paper, a framework is designed to evaluate the developmental sustainability of Suihua City, Heilongjiang Province in China from the aspects of economy, society, population, resources and environment. We adopt the Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to decrease dimensions and simplify the original indexes into 12 indexes. Also, the hierarchy and comprehensive multiple-criterion evaluative methods are employed to assess the sustainable development system in Suihua City. Then, the weights of indexes are attained by Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Furthermore, urban comprehensive development level, developmental sustainability, coordinate degree are calculated and analyzed. By analyzing, we know the fluctuation of development level of subsystem, especially resources and environment subsystem, is acute. The comprehensive development level of sustainable development system in Suihua has been on the rise since 1999. That results from the effect of traditional economic development mode with high energy-consumed being decreased in the city after 1999. At the same time, it is obvious that there was an instability of development level in Suihua City during 1990—2002, with a turn in 1998, and the development could be sustainable, the status trend was more harmonious in 1999—2002.

sustainable developmentcomprehensive development leveldevelopmental sustainabilitycoordinate degreesuihua city

ZHOU Jia、XIAO Haifeng、SHANG Jincheng、ZHANG Xuelin

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College of Life and Environment Sciences, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, China

2007

Chinese geographical science

Chinese geographical science

SCI
ISSN:1002-0063
年,卷(期):2007.17(4)