Robotics & Machine Learning Daily News2024,Issue(Jun.7) :16-17.

Researchers from Texas A&M University Report Findings in Machine Le arning (Interpretable Machine Learning for Predicting Urban Flash Flood Hotspots Using Intertwined Land and Builtenvironment Features)

德克萨斯农工大学的研究人员在Machine Le Arning(可解释性机器学习,用于利用相互交织的土地和建筑环境特征预测城市山洪热点)中报告了发现

Robotics & Machine Learning Daily News2024,Issue(Jun.7) :16-17.

Researchers from Texas A&M University Report Findings in Machine Le arning (Interpretable Machine Learning for Predicting Urban Flash Flood Hotspots Using Intertwined Land and Builtenvironment Features)

德克萨斯农工大学的研究人员在Machine Le Arning(可解释性机器学习,用于利用相互交织的土地和建筑环境特征预测城市山洪热点)中报告了发现

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摘要

由一名新闻记者兼机器人与机器学习的新闻编辑每日新闻-调查人员发布了关于马学习的新报告。根据NewsRx记者从德萨斯大学站发回的新闻报道,研究表明:“洪泛山洪是一种快速发展的危险,在城市地区造成了严重的破坏。随着降雨量的增加,主动识别城市山洪热点的能力对于洪水临近预报和RI SKs的预测性监测至关重要。”这项研究的财政支持来自国家科学基金会(NSF)。我们的新闻编辑从德克萨斯农工大学的研究中获得了一句话,“虽然降雨径流模型和水文模型是山洪预报的有用模型,但这些模型计算成本高,而且用于洪水临近预报的效率高。”本文提出了一种基于土地和建筑环境相互交织特征的可解释机器学习模型,将城市山洪热点预测任务表述为二元分类问题。选取美国城市近期发生的3起山洪事件进行数据收集和模型验证,利用不同的数据集构建了与土地和建筑环境特征有关的各种特征,并利用事件的众源数据捕捉山洪的发生情况,利用这些特征和数据集,对山洪的发生情况进行了分析。采用基于决策树的两种集成模型对城市山洪热点进行了预测,结果表明,该模型在洪水淹没/非淹没位置识别方面具有较好的精度(0.8),尤其具有较高的真阳性率(0.83~0.89)和较低的漏失率。模型解释结果表明,与水文、拓扑特征相关的地形特征对洪水风险的影响大于已建环境特征,进一步分析表明,地形特征的重要性、模型性能、洪水风险、对某一特定城市的山洪灾害进行预测,需要模型在城市间的传递性能和模型的本地化规格。

Abstract

By a News Reporter-Staff News Editor at Robotics & Machine Learning Daily News Daily News – Investigators publish new report on Ma chine Learning. According to news reporting originating from College Station, Te xas, by NewsRx correspondents, research stated, “Pluvial flash floods are fast-m oving hazards and causes significant disruptions in urban areas. With the increa se in heavy precipitations, the ability to proactively identify flash floods hot spots in cities is critical for flood nowcasting and predictive monitoring of ri sks.” Financial support for this research came from National Science Foundation (NSF). Our news editors obtained a quote from the research from Texas A&M University, “While rainfall runoff models and hydrologic models are useful model s for flash flood prediction, these models are computationally expensive and eff ort intensive to be used for flood nowcasting. To address this challenge, this s tudy presents interpretable machine learning models for predicting urban flash f lood hotspots based on intertwined land and built environment features. The task of predicting flash flood hotspots is formulated as a binary classification pro blem, and three recent flash flood events in U.S. cities are selected for data c ollection and model validation. Various features related to land and built envir onment characteristics are constructed using diverse datasets, and the occurrenc es of flash floods are captured using crowdsource data from the events. Using th ese features and datasets, the flash flood hotspots of cities are predicted with two ensemble models based on decision trees. The results demonstrate that the m odels can achieve good accuracy (0.8) in identifying flooded/non-flooded locatio ns. Especially, the models can achieve high true positive rate (0.83-0.89) and l ow missing rate, demonstrating the methods’ practicability for accurately predic ting flooded hotspots. The model interpretation results indicate that land featu res related to hydrological and topological features have greater impacts on fla sh flood risk, than built environment features. Further analysis reveals that th e feature importance, model performance, and model transferability performance v ary among cities and localized specifications of the models are needed for accur ate prediction of flash flood for a particular city.”

Key words

College Station/Texas/United States/N orth and Central America/Cyborgs/Emerging Technologies/Machine Learning/Texa s A&M University

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出版年

2024
Robotics & Machine Learning Daily News

Robotics & Machine Learning Daily News

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