Journal of Petroleum Science & Engineering2022,Vol.208PA12.DOI:10.1016/j.petrol.2021.109288

Uncertainty estimation in AVO inversion using Bayesian dropout based deep learning

Choi Junhwan Oh Seokmin Byun Joongmoo
Journal of Petroleum Science & Engineering2022,Vol.208PA12.DOI:10.1016/j.petrol.2021.109288

Uncertainty estimation in AVO inversion using Bayesian dropout based deep learning

Choi Junhwan 1Oh Seokmin 1Byun Joongmoo1
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作者信息

  • 1. RISE.ML (Reservoir Imaging with Seismic & EM Technology. Machine Learning) Lab, Hanyang University, Seoul, South Korea
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Abstract

Amplitude versus offset (AVO) inversion is the process of transforming seismic reflection into elastic properties such as P-and S-impedance to estimate the interval properties and thickness of underlying geology using well log and post-or prestack seismic data. Recent applications of AVO inversion based on deep learning have shown excellent results and practical applicability. However, traditional deep learning methods yield only prediction results without any associated predictive uncertainty. Two types of predictive uncertainty should be considered;; aleatoric uncertainty, which occurs when noisy data are included;; and epistemic uncertainty, which is caused by a lack of data. To estimate the impedances and their uncertainties, Bayesian approximation using Monte Carlo dropout is applied, which simply approximates a Bayesian neural network. From the proposed method, we can not only predict impedances but also estimate their predictive uncertainties in the seismic survey area and determine whether prediction results are reliable.

Key words

Elastic properties/Uncertainty/Bayesian approximation/Monte Carlo dropout

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出版年

2022
Journal of Petroleum Science & Engineering

Journal of Petroleum Science & Engineering

ISSN:0920-4105
被引量6
参考文献量46
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