首页|Swarm intelligence optimization of the group method of data handling using the cuckoo search and whale optimization algorithms to model and predict landslides

Swarm intelligence optimization of the group method of data handling using the cuckoo search and whale optimization algorithms to model and predict landslides

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The robustness of landslide prediction models has become a major focus of researchers worldwide. We developed two novel hybrid predictive models that combine the self-organizing, deep-learning group method of data handling (GMDH) with two swarm intelligence optimization algorithms, i.e., cuckoo search algorithm (CSA) and whale optimization algorithm (WOA) for spatially explicit prediction of landslide susceptibility. Eleven landslide-causing factors and 334 historic landslides in a 31,340 km2 landslide-prone area in Iran were used to produce geospatial training and validation datasets. The GMDH model was employed to develop a basic predictive model that was then restructured and its parameters were optimized using the CSA and WOA algorithms, yielding the novel hybrid GMDH-CSA and GMDH-WOA models. The hybrid models were validated and compared to the standalone GMDH model by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve and root mean square error (RMSE). The results demonstrated that the hybrid models overcame the computational shortcomings of the basic GMDH model and significantly improved landslide susceptibility prediction (GMDH-CSA, AUC = 0.909 and RMSE = 0.089; GMDH-WOA, AUC = 0.902 and RMSE = 0.129; standalone GMDH, AUC = 0.791 and RMSE = 0.226). Further, the hybrid models were more robust than the standalone GMDH model, showing consistently excellent performance when the training and validation datasets were changed. Overall, the swarm intelligence-optimized models, but not the standalone model, identified the best trade-offs among objectives, accuracy, and robustness.

GMDHMachine learningNature-inspired algorithmsSpatial modelingSusceptibility mapping

Jaafari A.、Panahi M.、Lee S.、Mafi-Gholami D.、Rahmati O.、Shahabi H.、Shirzadi A.、Bui D.T.、Pradhan B.

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Research Institute of Forests and Rangelands Agricultural Research Education and Extension Organization (AREEO)

Geoscience Platform Research Division Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources (KIGAM)

Department of Forest Sciences Faculty of Natural Resources and Earth Sciences Shahrekord University

Soil Conservation and Watershed Management Research Department Kurdistan Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center AREEO

Department of Geomorphology Faculty of Natural Resources University of Kurdistan

Department of Rangeland and Watershed Management Faculty of Natural Resources University of Kurdistan

GIS Group Department of Business and IT University of South-Eastern Norway

Centre for Advanced Modelling and Geospatial Information Systems (CAMGIS) School of Civil and Environmental Engineering Faculty of Engineering and IT University of Technology Sydney

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2022

Applied Soft Computing

Applied Soft Computing

EISCI
ISSN:1568-4946
年,卷(期):2022.116
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