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Multi-period portfolio selection with investor views based on scenario tree

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How to measure investor views and apply it in multi-period investment is an impor-tant problem in portfolio selection . This paper attempts to construct a portfolio selection model with extreme situations and extend it under the multi-period framework. First, we modify a portfolio selection model to fit the extreme cases of 0% or 100% confidence views, then we establish a new programming problem based on optimization approach and figure out the explicit solutions. Second, we extend the model to multi-period form and discretize the results with scenario tree, which solves the multi-period problems. Third, we build an international portfolio with CVaR risk measurement. The numerical tests show that the new multi-period selection model performs better than the others.(c) 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Portfolio selectionMulti-periodInvestor viewsScenario treeOptimizationBLACK-LITTERMAN MODELCONDITIONAL VALUE

Zhao, Daping、Bai, Lin、Fang, Yong、Wang, Shouyang

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Capital Univ Econ & Business

Chinese Acad Sci

2022

Applied mathematics and computation

Applied mathematics and computation

EISCI
ISSN:0096-3003
年,卷(期):2022.418
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