首页|A varying-coefficient regression approach to modeling the effects of wind speed on the dispersion of pollutants

A varying-coefficient regression approach to modeling the effects of wind speed on the dispersion of pollutants

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The real-world monitoring system of air pollution ordinarily collects data about pollutant concentration levels at pollution sources and monitors stations in a high-frequency manner. Inspired atmospheric models, the meteorological conditions could play an important role in building up the data-driven model for dispersing atmospheric pollutants from pollution sources to monitor stations. We propose a varying-coefficient model to analyze how emissions of monitor stations are influenced by pollution sources with changing with the wind speed. To estimate the unknown coefficient curves, we use a spline basis to approximate the functions. The asymptotic properties of the proposed method are studied and show the consistency of the estimator. Inference procedures based on a resampling subject bootstrap is developed to construct the conservative confidence bands. A simulation study is carried out to demonstrate the performance of our method. Illustrated by a real-world dataset of environmental sensors collected in Shenyang, China, the proposed varying-coefficient model reveals that the wind speed changes the dispersion mechanism of atmospheric pollutants between monitor stations and pollution sources.

Air pollutionConfidence bandLeast squaresPM25Regression splineEMPIRICAL LIKELIHOODSPLINE ESTIMATIONIDENTIFICATION

He, Kejun、Wang, Yifan、Su, Wei、Yang, Hanfang

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Renmin Univ China

2022

Environmental and ecological statistics

Environmental and ecological statistics

SCI
ISSN:1352-8505
年,卷(期):2022.29(2)
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