Physica2022,Vol.58720.DOI:10.1016/j.physa.2021.126533

Bubble detection in Greek Stock Market: A DS-LPPLS model approach

Papastamatiou, Konstantinos Karakasidis, Theodoros
Physica2022,Vol.58720.DOI:10.1016/j.physa.2021.126533

Bubble detection in Greek Stock Market: A DS-LPPLS model approach

Papastamatiou, Konstantinos 1Karakasidis, Theodoros
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作者信息

  • 1. Univ Thessaly
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Abstract

Upfront bubble detection is one of the holy grails in Financial Markets. In the present paper, in order to archive this goal, we consider two different methods based on the Log Periodic Power Law. We implement this early detection algorithms in the Greek Stock Market, which is a relatively "shallow"and underdeveloped market. We have examined a period from 1997 until the end of 2019, an epoch before the rise of COVID-19 virus. Using this methodology, we managed to detect with a relatively good accuracy the formation and the critical time for both positive and negative financial bubbles that occurred during the examination period. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Key words

DS-LPPLS/Positive bubble detection/Negative bubble detection/Critical time/Athens Stock Exchange/Confidence Indicator/REAL-ESTATE BUBBLE/ISING-MODEL/PREDICTION/EXCHANGE

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出版年

2022
Physica

Physica

ISSN:0378-4371
被引量1
参考文献量37
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