Physica2022,Vol.58718.DOI:10.1016/j.physa.2021.126506

Dynamic correlation of market connectivity, risk spillover and abnormal volatility in stock price

Huang, Difang Wu, Boyao Chen, Muzi Li, Nan Zheng, Lifen
Physica2022,Vol.58718.DOI:10.1016/j.physa.2021.126506

Dynamic correlation of market connectivity, risk spillover and abnormal volatility in stock price

Huang, Difang 1Wu, Boyao 2Chen, Muzi 3Li, Nan 4Zheng, Lifen3
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作者信息

  • 1. Monash Univ
  • 2. Univ Int Business & Econ
  • 3. Cent Univ Finance & Econ
  • 4. Shandong Normal Univ
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Abstract

The connectivity of stock markets reflects the information efficiency of capital markets and contributes to interior risk contagion and spillover effects. We compare Shanghai Stock Exchange A-shares (SSE A-shares) during tranquil periods, with high leverage periods associated with the 2015 subprime mortgage crisis. We use Pearson correlations of returns, the maximum strongly connected subgraph, and 3 sigma - principle to iteratively determine the threshold value for building a dynamic correlation network of SSE A-shares. Analyses are carried out based on the networking structure, intra-sector connectivity, and node status, identifying several contributions. First, compared with tranquil periods, the SSE A-shares network experiences a more significant small-world and connective effect during the subprime mortgage crisis and the high leverage period in 2015. Second, the finance, energy and utilities sectors have a stronger intra-industry connectivity than other sectors. Third, HUB nodes drive the growth of the SSE A-shares market during bull periods, while stocks have a think-tail degree distribution in bear periods and show distinct characteristics in terms of market value and finance. Granger linear and non-linear causality networks are also considered for the comparison purpose. Studies on the evolution of inter-cycle connectivity in the SSE A-share market may help investors improve portfolios and develop more robust risk management policies. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Key words

Stock network/Industry board/HUB node/Scale-free/Connectivity/NETWORK ANALYSIS/SYSTEMIC RISK/CAUSALITY/RETURNS/CRISIS/EVENT

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出版年

2022
Physica

Physica

ISSN:0378-4371
被引量4
参考文献量39
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