首页|Validation of a simplified comorbidity evaluation predicting clinical outcomes among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 – A multicenter retrospective observation study

Validation of a simplified comorbidity evaluation predicting clinical outcomes among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 – A multicenter retrospective observation study

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? 2022Objectives: We compared and validated the performance accuracy of simplified comorbidity evaluation compared to the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) predicting COVID-19 severity. In addition, we also determined whether risk prediction of COVID-19 severity changed during different COVID-19 pandemic outbreaks. Methods: We enrolled all patients whose SARS-CoV-2 PCR tests were performed at six different hospital Emergency Departments in 2020. Patients were divided into three groups based on the various COVID-19 outbreaks in the US (first wave: March–May 2020, second wave: June–September 2020, and third wave: October–December 2020). A simplified comorbidity evaluation was used as an independent risk factor to predict clinical outcomes using multivariate logistic regressions. Results: A total of 22,248 patients were included, for which 7023 (32%) patients tested COVID-19 positive. Higher percentages of COVID-19 patients with more than three chronic conditions had worse clinical outcomes (i.e., hospital and intensive care unit admissions, receiving invasive mechanical ventilations, and in-hospital mortality) during all three COVID-19 outbreak waves. Conclusions: This simplified comorbidity evaluation was validated to be associated with COVID clinical outcomes. Such evaluation did not perform worse when compared with CCI to predict in-hospital mortality.

Clinical outcomesComorbidityCOVID-19Pandemic outbreaks

Bryant D.P.、Shaikh S.、Schrader C.D.、Wang H.、d'Etienne J.P.、Alanis N.、Chou E.、Garrett J.S.、Kirby J.J.

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Department of Emergency Medicine JPS Health Network

Department of Information Technology JPS Health Network

Department of Emergency Medicine Baylor University Medical Center

2022

The American journal of emergency medicine

The American journal of emergency medicine

ISSN:0735-6757
年,卷(期):2022.56
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