首页|Navy Officer Force Planning for the Early 21st Century
Navy Officer Force Planning for the Early 21st Century
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The United States Navy Bureau of Naval Personnel (BUPERS), Washington DC, isresponsible for managing the professional development of thousands of officers. Officer management policy decisions primarily involves deciding how many officers to access, retain, promote, and separate each year. Good officer management policies ensure that the requisite number of officers by grade (rank) and community (specialty) will be available when needed to meet future force structure requirements. A mathematical forecasting model is presented for projecting current officer inventory over a ten-year planning horizon using officer management policies such as those listed above. The forecasting model has been implemented in an automated decision support system (DSS) designed to provide Navy personnel managers with a highly robust means of developing 'good' officer professional management policies. Two performance criteria are used for policy development: officer management system efficiency measured in terms of deviations of forecasted inventory from officer goals, and total policy cost based on officer pay and allowances.
Naval personnelNaval planningOfficer personnelPersonnel developmentMathematical modelsPoliciesManagement planning and controlDecision makingForecastingPersonnel retentionPromotion(Advancement)Markov processesDecision support system
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