首页|环巢湖流域土地利用变化与农户耕地保护参与研究

环巢湖流域土地利用变化与农户耕地保护参与研究

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为了探讨环巢湖流域土地利用变化及其对农户耕地保护行为的影响,以实现促进生态环境持续绿色发展的目标,通过分析2010至2020年间环巢湖流域不同地类面积的变化数据,并运用土地动态度及土地利用转移矩阵进行宏观描述,揭示了耕地面积显著减少及未利用地面积逐年增加的趋势.进一步采用农户对绿色肥料使用意愿作为耕地保护参与的代理变量,构建Logistic模型和有序Probit模型,分析农户耕地保护行为的影响因素.结果表明:1)环巢湖流域耕地面积减少377.47 km2,为所有地类中减少最多、最快的一类,未利用地面积持续增大.2)农户主观感知对绿色肥料施用意愿的影响最为显著,其中肥料价格和水污染认知变量均在1%的水平上显著.3)农户对化肥残留影响农作物和土壤的直接影响关注度高于对水污染的间接影响,对肥料施用造成巢湖水域污染的认知仍需加强.基于上述结果,提出加强对未利用地的管理研究、提高政府补贴、扩大环保宣传与培训、提升农户环境保护意识等政策建议,旨在为环巢湖流域的可持续绿色发展提供实证支持和政策指导.
Study of land use changes and farmers' cultivated land protection in the Chaohu Lake Basin
In order to explore the land use changes and their impact on the farm households' farmland protec-tion behavior in the Chaohu Lake Basin,so as to achieve the goal of promoting the sustainable green development of the ecological environment,this study revealed the trend of a significant decrease in the area of arable land and a yearly increase in the area of unutilized land,by analyzing the change data of the area of different land catego-ries in the Chao Lake Basin between 2010 and 2020,and applying the macroscopic description of land movement attitude and land use transfer matrix.Further,this study adopted farmers' willingness to use green fertilizer as a proxy variable for their participation in arable land protection,and constructed a Logistic model and an Ordered Probit model to analyze the influencing factors of farmers' arable land protection behaviors.The results showed that:1) The area of arable land in the Chao Lake Basin decreased by 377.47 km2,which was the largest and fastest decrease among all land categories,and the area of unused land continued to increase;2) The effect of farmers' subjective perceptions on the willingness to use green fertilizers was the most significant,with the fertilizer price and the water pollution perception variables being significant at the 1% level;3) The direct effect of farmers on the impact of fertilizer residues on crops and soil concern was higher than the indirect effect on water pollution,and the cognition of fertilizer application causing pollution of Chaohu Lake waters still needed to be strengthened.In general,based on the above results,policy suggestions such as strengthening the management research on un-used land,increasing government subsidies,expanding environmental protection publicity and training,and en-hancing farmers' awareness of environmental protection were proposed,aiming to provide an empirical support and policy guidance for the sustainable green development of the Chaohu Lake Basin.

Chaohu Lake Basinland use changewillingness to protect arable land

李坦、强子玥、马乐璇

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安徽农业大学经济管理学院,合肥 230036

环巢湖流域 土地利用变化 耕地保护意愿

"十四五"国家重点研发计划

2023YFD1700205

2024

安徽农业大学学报
安徽农业大学

安徽农业大学学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.412
ISSN:1672-352X
年,卷(期):2024.51(4)
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