“十三五”时期湖北省碳排放控制目标研究
A Study of Carbon Emission Control Target of Hubei Province during the Period of 13th Five-Year
邓逸 1张圣书 1廖琦1
作者信息
- 1. 湖北省宏观经济研究所,湖北武汉430071
- 折叠
摘要
基于湖北省碳排放现状,预测了2016-2030年湖北省的GDP增长、能源消费量和碳排放情况,划分了基准情景、低碳情景和强化低碳情景,对碳峰值进行情景分析.结果表明,只有在低碳情景和强化低碳情景下,湖北省才能在2030年前甚至2025年前实现碳排放达峰目标.根据情景分析结果,提出了湖北省“十三五”碳排放总量和强度控制目标.
Abstract
On the basis of status quo of carbon emissions,the GDP growth,energy consumption and carbon emissions of Hubei Province from 2016 to 2030 were forecasted.There were three different scenarios,including baseline scenario,low carbon scenario and enhanced low-carbon scenario,scenario analysis was conducted on carbon peak.The results showed that Hubei Province could achieve the peak of carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 or even 2025,only in the scenarios of low carbon scenario and the enhanced low-carbon scenario.Based on the conclusion of scenario analysis,the targets of controlling the total carbon dioxide emissions and carbon intensity of Hubei Province in the 13th Five-Year were put forward.
关键词
二氧化碳排放峰值/情景分析/目标Key words
Carbon dioxide emissions peak/Scenario analysis/Target引用本文复制引用
基金项目
2013年度中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目(2013060)
出版年
2017
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
维普
万方数据