临储制度退出对玉米产业链的影响分析
Analysis of the Impact of Temporary Deposit System Exit on Maize Industry Chain
蔡鸿毅 1彭家乐 2刘合光1
作者信息
- 1. 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081
- 2. 中信证券股份有限公司研究部,北京 100026
- 折叠
摘要
2016年3月,饱受争议的玉米临时收储政策终究退出历史舞台.在此背景下,通过对种植端、物流端的成本收益进行分析,玉米价格下跌为下游玉米深加工企业带来机遇;进一步分析玉米加工企业产能情况,得出玉米淀粉开机率开始复苏,利润率逐渐回暖.提出了玉米产业发展的对策建议:建立玉米现代流通体系,完善物流市场监管体系,同时加强信息监测预警,完善综合保障措施.
Abstract
In March 2016,the controversial corn temporary purchasing and storage policy eventually withdrew from the stage of history.In this context,through the analysis of the cost and benefit of the planting side and the logistics side,the decline of the corn price brings the opportunity for the deep processing enterprises of the downstream corn.Through the further analysis of corn processing enterprises capacity,we got the conclusion that the corn starch start rate began to recover,profit margins gradually pick up.The countermeasures were put forward for the development of corn industry:To establish modern circulation system of corn,improve the logistics market supervision system,and strengthen the information monitoring and early warning,improve the comprehensive safeguard measures.
关键词
临储政策/玉米价格/玉米加工业Key words
Temporary deposit policy/Corn price/Corn processing industry引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金(71673274)
农业部软科学项目(201619-2)
中国农业科学院科技创新工程创新团队项目(ASTIP-IAED-2016-06)
出版年
2017
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
维普
万方数据