基于CMS模型的中国对俄罗斯农产品出口贸易变动分析
Analysis of Fluctuation Factors of China to Russian Agriculture Products Export Based on CMS Model
籍丹宁 1曲丽华2
作者信息
- 1. 黑龙江科技大学,黑龙江哈尔滨150022
- 2. 哈尔滨海关,黑龙江哈尔滨150001
- 折叠
摘要
通过分析中国对俄罗斯农产品出口贸易的总量和结构特征,运用CMS模型实证分析中国对俄农产品出口变动的影响因素.结果表明,第一阶段(2008-2013年),中国对俄罗斯农产品出口增长的主导因素是增长效应;第二阶段(2014-2016年),综合竞争力效应是出口增长的主导因素,增长效应和动态交叉效应起了明显的阻碍作用.
Abstract
The export volume and structural features of Chinese agriculture products to Russian were analyzed.The factors influencing Chinese agricultural products export to Russian were studied by CMS model.The results showed that the dominant factor in agricultural products export growth of China to Russian was the growth effect in the first phrase (2008-2013);in the second stage(2014-2016),the comprehensive competitiveness effect was the dominant factor of export growth,and the growth effect and the dynamic cross effect played an obvious hindering role.
关键词
CMS模型/农产品出口/中国/俄罗斯Key words
CMS model/Agriculture products export/China/Russian引用本文复制引用
基金项目
黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(15JLE01)
出版年
2017
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
维普
万方数据