首页|基于不同权重的土地利用空间自相关模型对比分析——以元谋县为例

基于不同权重的土地利用空间自相关模型对比分析——以元谋县为例

扫码查看
[目的]研究不同空间权重矩阵对土地利用空间自相关模型的影响.[方法]以元谋县土地利用变量为基础,首先分析不同权重矩阵下土地利用类型及其驱动因子的空间自相关性,建立基于queen权重矩阵、rook权重矩阵和距离阈值权重矩阵的耕地时空格局演变的空间自回归模型,选取拟合优度、最大似然对数值、赤池信息准则、施瓦茨信息准则、影响因子数量和模型残差空间自相关性等参数作为模型评价指标,对比分析经典线性回归模型、空间滞后模型和空间误差模型的差异.[结果]2018年元谋县土地利用类型和土地利用驱动因子在不同空间权重矩阵下均呈现出较强的空间正相关关系.通过对比3种权重矩阵的经典线性回归模型、空间滞后模型和空间误差模型,发现在同一空间自相关模型中,基于距离阈值权重矩阵的空间自回归模型的拟合效果较好,基于同一个空间权重矩阵,空间误差模型的拟合效果较好.[结论]空间相关性与空间权重矩阵有关,基于距离阈值矩阵的空间误差模型的拟合度最高,解释能力最强,能更好表征云南高原山区的土地利用格局的空间演变.
Comparative Analysis of Spatial Autocorrelation Models of Land Use Based on Different Weights——A Case Study of Yuanmou County
[Objective]To study the impact of different spatial weight matrices on the spatial correlation model of land use. [Method]Based on the land-use variables of the administrative village of Yuanmou County, this paper first analyzed the spatial autocorrelation of land-use types and their driving factors under different weight matrices, and established an algorithm based on the queen weight matrix, rook weight matrix and distance threshold weight matrix. Spatial autoregressive model for the evolution of the spatio-temporal pattern of cultivated land. Parame-ters such as goodness of fit, maximum likelihood logarithm, Akaike information criterion, Schwartz information criterion, number of influence factors and spatial autocorrelation of model residuals were selected as model evaluation indicators.The differences between the classic linear re-gression model, the spatial lag model and the spatial error model were compared and analyzed. [Result]In 2018, land use types and land use drivers in Yuanmou County showed a strong positive spatial correlation under different spatial weight matrices. By comparing the classic linear regression model, spatial lag model and spatial error model of the three weight matrices, it was found that in the same spatial autocorrelation model, the fitting effect of the spatial autoregressive model based on the distance threshold weight matrix was better; based on the same space, the weight matrix and the spatial error model fit better. [Conclusion]The spatial correlation was related to the spatial weight matrix. The spa-tial error model based on the distance threshold matrix had the best fitting degree and the strongest interpretation ability, which could better re-present the spatial evolution of the land use pattern in the mountainous plateau of Yunnan.

Land useSpatial weight matrixSpatial autocorrelationSpatial autoregression modelYuanmou County

胡锐、刘志伟、张雄浩、徐志鸿、赵俊三

展开 >

国家林业和草原局西南调查规划院,云南昆明 650031

昆明理工大学国土资源工程学院,云南昆明 650093

云南省测绘工程院,云南昆明 650033

土地利用 空间权重矩阵 空间自相关 空间自回归模型 元谋县

国家自然科学基金项目

41761081

2024

安徽农业科学
安徽省农业科学院

安徽农业科学

影响因子:0.413
ISSN:0517-6611
年,卷(期):2024.52(11)