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扬州市邗江区耕地时空变化及驱动因素分析

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以扬州市邗江区耕地为研究对象,在对耕地数量、质量现状分析的基础上,采用土地利用动态变化分析法对耕地数量、质量进行时空变化分析,采用灰色关联法对耕地数量变化的驱动因素进行分析.结果表明:研究期内耕地面积有所减少,动态度较小;受城市快速发展和农业结构调整影响,减少的耕地主要转为建设用地和林地.新增耕地主要来源于城乡用地增减挂钩、耕地占补平衡、土地综合整治等项目,耕地质量较高.城镇化率、总人口、第二三产业占地区生产总值比重、GDP、粮食总产量、粮食作物播种面积是影响耕地数量变化的主要驱动因素.
Analysis of the Spatial-temporal Changes and Driving Factors of Cultivated Land in Hanjiang District,Yangzhou City
Taking the cultivated land in Hanjiang District,Yangzhou City as the research object,based on the analysis of the current situation of cultivated land quantity and quality,the land use dynamic change analysis method was used to analyze the spatial-temporal changes of culti-vated land quantity and quality,and the grey correlation method was used to analyze the driving factors of cultivated land quantity changes.The results showed that during the research period,the area of cultivated land had been reduced,and dynamic degree was small.Affected by the rapid development of urban and the adjustment of agricultural structure,the reduced cultivated land was mainly converted into construction land and forest.New cultivation land mainly came from projects such as increasing or decreased urban and rural land,replenishment of cultivat-ed land,comprehensive land remediation,etc,quality of cultivated land was higher.Urbanization rate,total population,second and tertiary in-dustries occupy regional GDP,GDP,total grain output and sowing area of grain crops were the main driving factors affecting changes in the number of arable land.

Quantity of cultivated landQuality of cultivated landSpatial-temporal changeDriving factorHanjiang District,Yangzhou City

黄兴国、张贺、李安芹、王丹

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扬州市职业大学,江苏扬州 225009

江苏茂源勘测规划设计有限公司,江苏扬州 211400

耕地数量 耕地质量 时空变化 驱动因素 扬州市邗江区

江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目国家自然科学基金项目

2023SJYB212042071229

2024

安徽农业科学
安徽省农业科学院

安徽农业科学

影响因子:0.413
ISSN:0517-6611
年,卷(期):2024.52(20)